Montran World Cup 2026 · scouting report
Know yourrivals
A full statistical read on each of the 26 of us across 104 scored
matches — how we score, how accurate we are, how we think (chalk or contrarian,
cautious or goal-happy, steady or volatile), and how much is skill vs. luck once you price
every game against the pre-match odds . Pick a player. The fingerprint shows where they
sit in the pool on each axis (0–100 percentile).
Radu V #1 Stochastic Parrot #2 Dali002 #3 raluca #4 raresFarcas #5 Montran #6 marcus23 #7 mbogdan #8 Raisa #9 Gullit26 #10 ri2c #11 The Hound #12 Rocky Gratiano #13 Pikachu #14 Arhentinaa #15 Cristi #16 Tay Tay #17 Labuta #18 gnita #19 Inoasca #20 HoratiuT #21 loaded fries #22 Alexandrai #23 vladivostok #24 Cri #25 Tricolorii #26
#1
Radu V Radu V7 Chalk-loyal High scorer Sharp reader Cautious Draw-shy Chalk merchant
Fingerprint pool percentile per axis
Accuracy 94 Scoring 94 Consistency 27 Stability 65 Draw-love 17 Risk 10 Contrarian 2 Aggression 6 Points per match how often each score lands
16% 0 18% 2 21% 5 3% 6 23% 7 1% 8 16% 10 1% 12 points earned in a match → share of matches Scoring Points (official) 578
Per match 4.99
Median 5
Consistency (±) 3.35
Best / worst 12 / 0
Blank-match rate 35%
MOTD / regular ppm 5.25 / 4.97
Accuracy Outcome correct 65%
Exact score 16%
Home / away goals 34% / 38%
Draw precision 60%
Draw recall 21%
Robust-floor rate 20%
Style Crowd-follow 96%
Contrarian 4%
Goal aggression 1.6 goals/game
Draw bias 10%
Big-margin picks 6%
Scoreline variety 2.71 bits
Home bias +0.42
Standing Current rank #1
Mean rank 4.13
Best / worst #1 / #14
Stability 80
Net climb +5
Time in top 5 74%
Momentum -3.79
Prediction twin Cristi 79.8/100
Polar opposite Cri 45.7/100
Typicality 63.2 uniqueness 36.8
Coverage 99% 1 missed
Against the odds vs the pre-match favourite & a model of each game
Backs the favourite 90% 10% upsets · 60% land
Expected → actual pts 469.8 → 514 +44.2 vs pick-value
Results vs odds +7.2 67 right · 59.8 expected
Deserved standing #1 real #1 · +0 luck
Tournament bracket — expected points EV = points × probability, from simulations & pre-match odds
Group placement 165 of 240 max
Knockout 215 of 327 max
Top scorer 30 of 30 max
Grand EV 410 of 597 max
Bonus uncertainty 80% range 410–410 pts · σ 0 · one shared simulated tournament per trial
Group finishing positionsexpected 165 of 240 max
Group A5
1st Mexico 100% 5.00
2nd South Korea 0% 0.00
3rd Czech Republic 0% 0.00
4th South Africa 0% 0.00
Group B20
1st Switzerland 100% 5.00
2nd Canada 100% 5.00
3rd Bosnia & Herzegovina 100% 5.00
4th Qatar 100% 5.00
Group C20
1st Brazil 100% 5.00
2nd Morocco 100% 5.00
3rd Scotland 100% 5.00
4th Haiti 100% 5.00
Group D5
1st Türkiye 0% 0.00
2nd USA 0% 0.00
3rd Paraguay 100% 5.00
4th Australia 0% 0.00
Group E10
1st Germany 100% 5.00
2nd Ecuador 0% 0.00
3rd Côte d'Ivoire 0% 0.00
4th Curaçao 100% 5.00
Group F20
1st Netherlands 100% 5.00
2nd Japan 100% 5.00
3rd Sweden 100% 5.00
4th Tunisia 100% 5.00
Group G10
1st Belgium 100% 5.00
2nd Iran 0% 0.00
3rd Egypt 0% 0.00
4th New Zealand 100% 5.00
Group H5
1st Spain 100% 5.00
2nd Uruguay 0% 0.00
3rd Saudi Arabia 0% 0.00
4th Cape Verde 0% 0.00
Group I20
1st France 100% 5.00
2nd Norway 100% 5.00
3rd Senegal 100% 5.00
4th Iraq 100% 5.00
Group J20
1st Argentina 100% 5.00
2nd Austria 100% 5.00
3rd Algeria 100% 5.00
4th Jordan 100% 5.00
Group K10
1st Portugal 0% 0.00
2nd Colombia 0% 0.00
3rd DR Congo 100% 5.00
4th Uzbekistan 100% 5.00
Group L20
1st England 100% 5.00
2nd Croatia 100% 5.00
3rd Ghana 100% 5.00
4th Panama 100% 5.00
Knockout roundsexpected 215 of 327 max
Round of 322 pts 54
South Korea 0% 0.00
Canada 100% 2.00
Germany 100% 2.00
Scotland 0% 0.00
Netherlands 100% 2.00
Morocco 100% 2.00
Brazil 100% 2.00
Japan 100% 2.00
France 100% 2.00
Sweden 100% 2.00
Ecuador 100% 2.00
Norway 100% 2.00
Mexico 100% 2.00
Côte d'Ivoire 100% 2.00
England 100% 2.00
Senegal 100% 2.00
Türkiye 0% 0.00
Bosnia & Herzegovina 100% 2.00
Belgium 100% 2.00
Algeria 100% 2.00
Colombia 100% 2.00
Croatia 100% 2.00
Spain 100% 2.00
Austria 100% 2.00
Switzerland 100% 2.00
Egypt 100% 2.00
Argentina 100% 2.00
Uruguay 0% 0.00
Portugal 100% 2.00
Ghana 100% 2.00
USA 100% 2.00
Iran 0% 0.00
Round of 163 pts 36
Germany 0% 0.00
France 100% 3.00
Canada 100% 3.00
Netherlands 0% 0.00
Brazil 100% 3.00
Ecuador 0% 0.00
Mexico 100% 3.00
England 100% 3.00
Colombia 100% 3.00
Spain 100% 3.00
Türkiye 0% 0.00
Belgium 100% 3.00
Argentina 100% 3.00
USA 100% 3.00
Switzerland 100% 3.00
Portugal 100% 3.00
Quarter-final10 pts 50
France 100% 10.00
Netherlands 0% 0.00
Spain 100% 10.00
Belgium 100% 10.00
Brazil 0% 0.00
England 100% 10.00
Argentina 100% 10.00
Portugal 0% 0.00
Semi-final10 pts 20
France 100% 10.00
Spain 100% 10.00
Brazil 0% 0.00
Portugal 0% 0.00
Finalist15 pts 15
Spain 100% 15.00
Brazil 0% 0.00
3rd-place match10 pts 10
France 100% 10.00
Portugal 0% 0.00
Top scorerexpected 30 of 30 max
Mbappe 100.0% 30.00
#2
Stochastic Parrot Levente Chalk-loyal High scorer Sharp reader Steady Riding variance
Fingerprint pool percentile per axis
Accuracy 98 Scoring 98 Consistency 67 Stability 83 Draw-love 56 Risk 69 Contrarian 13 Aggression 56 Points per match how often each score lands
14% 0 21% 2 20% 5 1% 6 29% 7 3% 8 12% 10 1% 12 points earned in a match → share of matches Scoring Points (official) 562
Per match 5.01
Median 5
Consistency (±) 3.17
Best / worst 12 / 0
Blank-match rate 35%
MOTD / regular ppm 6 / 4.93
Accuracy Outcome correct 65%
Exact score 12%
Home / away goals 36% / 36%
Draw precision 50%
Draw recall 28%
Robust-floor rate 27%
Style Crowd-follow 88%
Contrarian 12%
Goal aggression 2.62 goals/game
Draw bias 15%
Big-margin picks 17%
Scoreline variety 3.58 bits
Home bias +0.6
Standing Current rank #2
Mean rank 2.54
Best / worst #1 / #9
Stability 86
Net climb +0
Time in top 5 86%
Momentum -2.81
Prediction twin Radu V 75.3/100
Polar opposite vladivostok 48.5/100
Typicality 63.5 uniqueness 36.5
Coverage 100% 0 missed
Against the odds vs the pre-match favourite & a model of each game
Backs the favourite 84% 16% upsets · 53% land
Expected → actual pts 457.9 → 521 +63.1 vs pick-value
Results vs odds +9.1 68 right · 58.9 expected
Deserved standing #2 real #2 · +0 luck
Tournament bracket — expected points EV = points × probability, from simulations & pre-match odds
Group placement 185 of 240 max
Knockout 233 of 327 max
Top scorer 0 of 30 max
Grand EV 418 of 597 max
Bonus uncertainty 80% range 418–418 pts · σ 0 · one shared simulated tournament per trial
Group finishing positionsexpected 185 of 240 max
Group A10
1st Mexico 100% 5.00
2nd Czech Republic 0% 0.00
3rd South Korea 100% 5.00
4th South Africa 0% 0.00
Group B20
1st Switzerland 100% 5.00
2nd Canada 100% 5.00
3rd Bosnia & Herzegovina 100% 5.00
4th Qatar 100% 5.00
Group C20
1st Brazil 100% 5.00
2nd Morocco 100% 5.00
3rd Scotland 100% 5.00
4th Haiti 100% 5.00
Group D10
1st USA 100% 5.00
2nd Türkiye 0% 0.00
3rd Paraguay 100% 5.00
4th Australia 0% 0.00
Group E10
1st Germany 100% 5.00
2nd Ecuador 0% 0.00
3rd Côte d'Ivoire 0% 0.00
4th Curaçao 100% 5.00
Group F20
1st Netherlands 100% 5.00
2nd Japan 100% 5.00
3rd Sweden 100% 5.00
4th Tunisia 100% 5.00
Group G20
1st Belgium 100% 5.00
2nd Egypt 100% 5.00
3rd Iran 100% 5.00
4th New Zealand 100% 5.00
Group H5
1st Spain 100% 5.00
2nd Uruguay 0% 0.00
3rd Saudi Arabia 0% 0.00
4th Cape Verde 0% 0.00
Group I20
1st France 100% 5.00
2nd Norway 100% 5.00
3rd Senegal 100% 5.00
4th Iraq 100% 5.00
Group J20
1st Argentina 100% 5.00
2nd Austria 100% 5.00
3rd Algeria 100% 5.00
4th Jordan 100% 5.00
Group K10
1st Portugal 0% 0.00
2nd Colombia 0% 0.00
3rd DR Congo 100% 5.00
4th Uzbekistan 100% 5.00
Group L20
1st England 100% 5.00
2nd Croatia 100% 5.00
3rd Ghana 100% 5.00
4th Panama 100% 5.00
Knockout roundsexpected 233 of 327 max
Round of 322 pts 52
Mexico 100% 2.00
Czech Republic 0% 0.00
Switzerland 100% 2.00
Canada 100% 2.00
Brazil 100% 2.00
Morocco 100% 2.00
USA 100% 2.00
Türkiye 0% 0.00
Germany 100% 2.00
Ecuador 100% 2.00
Netherlands 100% 2.00
Japan 100% 2.00
Belgium 100% 2.00
Egypt 100% 2.00
Spain 100% 2.00
Uruguay 0% 0.00
France 100% 2.00
Norway 100% 2.00
Argentina 100% 2.00
Austria 100% 2.00
Portugal 100% 2.00
Colombia 100% 2.00
England 100% 2.00
Croatia 100% 2.00
South Korea 0% 0.00
Bosnia & Herzegovina 100% 2.00
Scotland 0% 0.00
Paraguay 100% 2.00
Côte d'Ivoire 100% 2.00
Sweden 100% 2.00
Iran 0% 0.00
Senegal 100% 2.00
Round of 163 pts 36
Germany 0% 0.00
France 100% 3.00
Canada 100% 3.00
Netherlands 0% 0.00
Brazil 100% 3.00
Norway 100% 3.00
Mexico 100% 3.00
England 100% 3.00
Croatia 0% 0.00
Spain 100% 3.00
USA 100% 3.00
Belgium 100% 3.00
Argentina 100% 3.00
Türkiye 0% 0.00
Switzerland 100% 3.00
Portugal 100% 3.00
Quarter-final10 pts 50
France 100% 10.00
Netherlands 0% 0.00
Spain 100% 10.00
Belgium 100% 10.00
Brazil 0% 0.00
England 100% 10.00
Argentina 100% 10.00
Portugal 0% 0.00
Semi-final10 pts 40
France 100% 10.00
Spain 100% 10.00
England 100% 10.00
Argentina 100% 10.00
Finalist15 pts 15
Spain 100% 15.00
England 0% 0.00
3rd-place match10 pts 10
France 100% 10.00
Argentina 0% 0.00
Top scorerexpected 0 of 30 max
Kane 0.0% 0.00
#3
Dali002 Alina&Daniela Chalk-loyal High scorer Sharp reader Draw-shy Chalk merchant Riding variance
Fingerprint pool percentile per axis
Accuracy 90 Scoring 87 Consistency 52 Stability 50 Draw-love 12 Risk 35 Contrarian 10 Aggression 60 Points per match how often each score lands
17% 0 18% 2 23% 5 1% 6 24% 7 4% 8 12% 10 points earned in a match → share of matches Scoring Points (official) 542
Per match 4.82
Median 5
Consistency (±) 3.22
Best / worst 10 / 0
Blank-match rate 36%
MOTD / regular ppm 5.25 / 4.78
Accuracy Outcome correct 64%
Exact score 12%
Home / away goals 32% / 36%
Draw precision 50%
Draw recall 17%
Robust-floor rate 25%
Style Crowd-follow 91%
Contrarian 9%
Goal aggression 2.67 goals/game
Draw bias 10%
Big-margin picks 12%
Scoreline variety 3.22 bits
Home bias +0.37
Standing Current rank #3
Mean rank 7.75
Best / worst #2 / #21
Stability 79
Net climb +11
Time in top 5 39%
Momentum -4.02
Prediction twin Radu V 74.2/100
Polar opposite Cri 41.6/100
Typicality 65.5 uniqueness 34.5
Coverage 100% 0 missed
Against the odds vs the pre-match favourite & a model of each game
Backs the favourite 88% 12% upsets · 46% land
Expected → actual pts 456.9 → 501 +44.1 vs pick-value
Results vs odds +7.2 67 right · 59.8 expected
Deserved standing #3 real #3 · +0 luck
Tournament bracket — expected points EV = points × probability, from simulations & pre-match odds
Group placement 150 of 240 max
Knockout 237 of 327 max
Top scorer 0 of 30 max
Grand EV 387 of 597 max
Bonus uncertainty 80% range 387–387 pts · σ 0 · one shared simulated tournament per trial
Group finishing positionsexpected 150 of 240 max
Group A10
1st Mexico 100% 5.00
2nd South Korea 0% 0.00
3rd South Africa 0% 0.00
4th Czech Republic 100% 5.00
Group B10
1st Switzerland 100% 5.00
2nd Canada 100% 5.00
3rd Qatar 0% 0.00
4th Bosnia & Herzegovina 0% 0.00
Group C20
1st Brazil 100% 5.00
2nd Morocco 100% 5.00
3rd Scotland 100% 5.00
4th Haiti 100% 5.00
Group D5
1st USA 100% 5.00
2nd Paraguay 0% 0.00
3rd Türkiye 0% 0.00
4th Australia 0% 0.00
Group E10
1st Germany 100% 5.00
2nd Ecuador 0% 0.00
3rd Côte d'Ivoire 0% 0.00
4th Curaçao 100% 5.00
Group F20
1st Netherlands 100% 5.00
2nd Japan 100% 5.00
3rd Sweden 100% 5.00
4th Tunisia 100% 5.00
Group G20
1st Belgium 100% 5.00
2nd Egypt 100% 5.00
3rd Iran 100% 5.00
4th New Zealand 100% 5.00
Group H5
1st Spain 100% 5.00
2nd Uruguay 0% 0.00
3rd Saudi Arabia 0% 0.00
4th Cape Verde 0% 0.00
Group I10
1st France 100% 5.00
2nd Senegal 0% 0.00
3rd Norway 0% 0.00
4th Iraq 100% 5.00
Group J20
1st Argentina 100% 5.00
2nd Austria 100% 5.00
3rd Algeria 100% 5.00
4th Jordan 100% 5.00
Group K0
1st Portugal 0% 0.00
2nd Colombia 0% 0.00
3rd Uzbekistan 0% 0.00
4th DR Congo 0% 0.00
Group L20
1st England 100% 5.00
2nd Croatia 100% 5.00
3rd Ghana 100% 5.00
4th Panama 100% 5.00
Knockout roundsexpected 237 of 327 max
Round of 322 pts 54
Mexico 100% 2.00
South Korea 0% 0.00
Switzerland 100% 2.00
Canada 100% 2.00
Brazil 100% 2.00
Morocco 100% 2.00
USA 100% 2.00
Paraguay 100% 2.00
Germany 100% 2.00
Ecuador 100% 2.00
Netherlands 100% 2.00
Japan 100% 2.00
Belgium 100% 2.00
Egypt 100% 2.00
Spain 100% 2.00
Uruguay 0% 0.00
France 100% 2.00
Senegal 100% 2.00
Argentina 100% 2.00
Austria 100% 2.00
Portugal 100% 2.00
Colombia 100% 2.00
England 100% 2.00
Croatia 100% 2.00
Qatar 0% 0.00
Scotland 0% 0.00
Türkiye 0% 0.00
Côte d'Ivoire 100% 2.00
Sweden 100% 2.00
Norway 100% 2.00
Algeria 100% 2.00
Ghana 100% 2.00
Round of 163 pts 33
South Korea 0% 0.00
Germany 0% 0.00
Netherlands 0% 0.00
Brazil 100% 3.00
France 100% 3.00
Ecuador 0% 0.00
Mexico 100% 3.00
England 100% 3.00
USA 100% 3.00
Belgium 100% 3.00
Croatia 0% 0.00
Spain 100% 3.00
Switzerland 100% 3.00
Argentina 100% 3.00
Portugal 100% 3.00
Paraguay 100% 3.00
Quarter-final10 pts 50
France 100% 10.00
Netherlands 0% 0.00
Brazil 0% 0.00
England 100% 10.00
Spain 100% 10.00
Belgium 100% 10.00
Argentina 100% 10.00
Portugal 0% 0.00
Semi-final10 pts 30
France 100% 10.00
Spain 100% 10.00
Brazil 0% 0.00
Argentina 100% 10.00
Finalist15 pts 30
Spain 100% 15.00
Argentina 100% 15.00
3rd-place match10 pts 10
France 100% 10.00
Brazil 0% 0.00
Top scorerexpected 0 of 30 max
Yamal 0.0% 0.00
#4
raluca Raluca Draw-shy Steady Riding variance
Fingerprint pool percentile per axis
Accuracy 67 Scoring 63 Consistency 13 Stability 75 Draw-love 12 Risk 69 Contrarian 40 Aggression 67 Points per match how often each score lands
22% 0 18% 2 19% 5 27% 7 3% 8 9% 10 2% 12 points earned in a match → share of matches Scoring Points (official) 526
Per match 4.54
Median 5
Consistency (±) 3.38
Best / worst 12 / 0
Blank-match rate 40%
MOTD / regular ppm 6.25 / 4.4
Accuracy Outcome correct 60%
Exact score 11%
Home / away goals 30% / 38%
Draw precision 30%
Draw recall 10%
Robust-floor rate 29%
Style Crowd-follow 81%
Contrarian 19%
Goal aggression 2.76 goals/game
Draw bias 10%
Big-margin picks 17%
Scoreline variety 3.44 bits
Home bias +0.55
Standing Current rank #4
Mean rank 3.99
Best / worst #1 / #8
Stability 82
Net climb +4
Time in top 5 86%
Momentum -2.74
Prediction twin Cristi 69.8/100
Polar opposite Cri 42.6/100
Typicality 61.3 uniqueness 38.7
Coverage 100% 0 missed
Against the odds vs the pre-match favourite & a model of each game
Backs the favourite 82% 18% upsets · 32% land
Expected → actual pts 445.3 → 472 +26.7 vs pick-value
Results vs odds +4 62 right · 58 expected
Deserved standing #8 real #4 · +4 luck
Tournament bracket — expected points EV = points × probability, from simulations & pre-match odds
Group placement 145 of 240 max
Knockout 201 of 327 max
Top scorer 30 of 30 max
Grand EV 376 of 597 max
Bonus uncertainty 80% range 376–376 pts · σ 0 · one shared simulated tournament per trial
Group finishing positionsexpected 145 of 240 max
Group A5
1st Mexico 100% 5.00
2nd South Korea 0% 0.00
3rd Czech Republic 0% 0.00
4th South Africa 0% 0.00
Group B20
1st Switzerland 100% 5.00
2nd Canada 100% 5.00
3rd Bosnia & Herzegovina 100% 5.00
4th Qatar 100% 5.00
Group C20
1st Brazil 100% 5.00
2nd Morocco 100% 5.00
3rd Scotland 100% 5.00
4th Haiti 100% 5.00
Group D5
1st Türkiye 0% 0.00
2nd USA 0% 0.00
3rd Paraguay 100% 5.00
4th Australia 0% 0.00
Group E10
1st Germany 100% 5.00
2nd Ecuador 0% 0.00
3rd Côte d'Ivoire 0% 0.00
4th Curaçao 100% 5.00
Group F20
1st Netherlands 100% 5.00
2nd Japan 100% 5.00
3rd Sweden 100% 5.00
4th Tunisia 100% 5.00
Group G20
1st Belgium 100% 5.00
2nd Egypt 100% 5.00
3rd Iran 100% 5.00
4th New Zealand 100% 5.00
Group H5
1st Spain 100% 5.00
2nd Uruguay 0% 0.00
3rd Saudi Arabia 0% 0.00
4th Cape Verde 0% 0.00
Group I10
1st France 100% 5.00
2nd Senegal 0% 0.00
3rd Norway 0% 0.00
4th Iraq 100% 5.00
Group J10
1st Argentina 100% 5.00
2nd Algeria 0% 0.00
3rd Austria 0% 0.00
4th Jordan 100% 5.00
Group K0
1st Portugal 0% 0.00
2nd Colombia 0% 0.00
3rd Uzbekistan 0% 0.00
4th DR Congo 0% 0.00
Group L20
1st England 100% 5.00
2nd Croatia 100% 5.00
3rd Ghana 100% 5.00
4th Panama 100% 5.00
Knockout roundsexpected 201 of 327 max
Round of 322 pts 56
South Korea 0% 0.00
Canada 100% 2.00
Germany 100% 2.00
Paraguay 100% 2.00
Netherlands 100% 2.00
Morocco 100% 2.00
Brazil 100% 2.00
Japan 100% 2.00
France 100% 2.00
Sweden 100% 2.00
Ecuador 100% 2.00
Senegal 100% 2.00
Mexico 100% 2.00
Scotland 0% 0.00
England 100% 2.00
Norway 100% 2.00
Türkiye 0% 0.00
Bosnia & Herzegovina 100% 2.00
Belgium 100% 2.00
Côte d'Ivoire 100% 2.00
Colombia 100% 2.00
Croatia 100% 2.00
Spain 100% 2.00
Algeria 100% 2.00
Switzerland 100% 2.00
Austria 100% 2.00
Argentina 100% 2.00
Uruguay 0% 0.00
Portugal 100% 2.00
Ghana 100% 2.00
USA 100% 2.00
Egypt 100% 2.00
Round of 163 pts 30
Germany 0% 0.00
France 100% 3.00
South Korea 0% 0.00
Netherlands 0% 0.00
Brazil 100% 3.00
Senegal 0% 0.00
Mexico 100% 3.00
England 100% 3.00
Colombia 100% 3.00
Spain 100% 3.00
Türkiye 0% 0.00
Côte d'Ivoire 0% 0.00
Argentina 100% 3.00
USA 100% 3.00
Switzerland 100% 3.00
Portugal 100% 3.00
Quarter-final10 pts 40
France 100% 10.00
Netherlands 0% 0.00
Spain 100% 10.00
Türkiye 0% 0.00
Brazil 0% 0.00
England 100% 10.00
Argentina 100% 10.00
Portugal 0% 0.00
Semi-final10 pts 20
France 100% 10.00
Spain 100% 10.00
Brazil 0% 0.00
Portugal 0% 0.00
Finalist15 pts 15
Spain 100% 15.00
Portugal 0% 0.00
3rd-place match10 pts 10
France 100% 10.00
Brazil 0% 0.00
Top scorerexpected 30 of 30 max
Mbappe 100.0% 30.00
#5
raresFarcas RARES High scorer Sharp reader Goal-happy Big-margin gambler Riding variance Maverick
Fingerprint pool percentile per axis
Accuracy 83 Scoring 83 Consistency 87 Stability 65 Draw-love 44 Risk 94 Contrarian 25 Aggression 88 Points per match how often each score lands
14% 0 22% 2 19% 5 2% 6 30% 7 4% 8 9% 10 points earned in a match → share of matches Scoring Points (official) 546
Per match 4.78
Median 5
Consistency (±) 3.04
Best / worst 10 / 0
Blank-match rate 36%
MOTD / regular ppm 6 / 4.68
Accuracy Outcome correct 64%
Exact score 9%
Home / away goals 28% / 39%
Draw precision 54%
Draw recall 24%
Robust-floor rate 28%
Style Crowd-follow 84%
Contrarian 16%
Goal aggression 2.93 goals/game
Draw bias 12%
Big-margin picks 29%
Scoreline variety 4.13 bits
Home bias +0.43
Standing Current rank #5
Mean rank 6.48
Best / worst #1 / #17
Stability 80
Net climb +7
Time in top 5 30%
Momentum -1.58
Prediction twin Dali002 68.1/100
Polar opposite Cri 36.2/100
Typicality 56.6 uniqueness 43.4
Coverage 100% 0 missed
Against the odds vs the pre-match favourite & a model of each game
Backs the favourite 81% 19% upsets · 45% land
Expected → actual pts 438 → 497 +59 vs pick-value
Results vs odds +8.2 66 right · 57.8 expected
Deserved standing #10 real #5 · +5 luck
Tournament bracket — expected points EV = points × probability, from simulations & pre-match odds
Group placement 140 of 240 max
Knockout 215 of 327 max
Top scorer 0 of 30 max
Grand EV 355 of 597 max
Bonus uncertainty 80% range 355–355 pts · σ 0 · one shared simulated tournament per trial
Group finishing positionsexpected 140 of 240 max
Group A10
1st Mexico 100% 5.00
2nd Czech Republic 0% 0.00
3rd South Korea 100% 5.00
4th South Africa 0% 0.00
Group B20
1st Switzerland 100% 5.00
2nd Canada 100% 5.00
3rd Bosnia & Herzegovina 100% 5.00
4th Qatar 100% 5.00
Group C10
1st Brazil 100% 5.00
2nd Scotland 0% 0.00
3rd Morocco 0% 0.00
4th Haiti 100% 5.00
Group D5
1st USA 100% 5.00
2nd Türkiye 0% 0.00
3rd Australia 0% 0.00
4th Paraguay 0% 0.00
Group E20
1st Germany 100% 5.00
2nd Côte d'Ivoire 100% 5.00
3rd Ecuador 100% 5.00
4th Curaçao 100% 5.00
Group F10
1st Japan 0% 0.00
2nd Netherlands 0% 0.00
3rd Sweden 100% 5.00
4th Tunisia 100% 5.00
Group G10
1st Belgium 100% 5.00
2nd Egypt 100% 5.00
3rd New Zealand 0% 0.00
4th Iran 0% 0.00
Group H5
1st Spain 100% 5.00
2nd Uruguay 0% 0.00
3rd Saudi Arabia 0% 0.00
4th Cape Verde 0% 0.00
Group I10
1st France 100% 5.00
2nd Senegal 0% 0.00
3rd Norway 0% 0.00
4th Iraq 100% 5.00
Group J20
1st Argentina 100% 5.00
2nd Austria 100% 5.00
3rd Algeria 100% 5.00
4th Jordan 100% 5.00
Group K0
1st Portugal 0% 0.00
2nd Colombia 0% 0.00
3rd Uzbekistan 0% 0.00
4th DR Congo 0% 0.00
Group L20
1st England 100% 5.00
2nd Croatia 100% 5.00
3rd Ghana 100% 5.00
4th Panama 100% 5.00
Knockout roundsexpected 215 of 327 max
Round of 322 pts 54
Czech Republic 0% 0.00
Canada 100% 2.00
Germany 100% 2.00
Australia 100% 2.00
Japan 100% 2.00
Scotland 0% 0.00
Brazil 100% 2.00
Netherlands 100% 2.00
France 100% 2.00
Sweden 100% 2.00
Côte d'Ivoire 100% 2.00
Senegal 100% 2.00
Mexico 100% 2.00
Morocco 100% 2.00
England 100% 2.00
Norway 100% 2.00
USA 100% 2.00
Bosnia & Herzegovina 100% 2.00
Belgium 100% 2.00
South Korea 0% 0.00
Colombia 100% 2.00
Croatia 100% 2.00
Spain 100% 2.00
Austria 100% 2.00
Switzerland 100% 2.00
Algeria 100% 2.00
Argentina 100% 2.00
Uruguay 0% 0.00
Portugal 100% 2.00
Ghana 100% 2.00
Türkiye 0% 0.00
Egypt 100% 2.00
Round of 163 pts 36
Germany 0% 0.00
France 100% 3.00
Canada 100% 3.00
Scotland 0% 0.00
Brazil 100% 3.00
Senegal 0% 0.00
Morocco 100% 3.00
England 100% 3.00
Colombia 100% 3.00
Spain 100% 3.00
USA 100% 3.00
Belgium 100% 3.00
Argentina 100% 3.00
Türkiye 0% 0.00
Switzerland 100% 3.00
Portugal 100% 3.00
Quarter-final10 pts 40
France 100% 10.00
Scotland 0% 0.00
Spain 100% 10.00
USA 0% 0.00
Brazil 0% 0.00
England 100% 10.00
Argentina 100% 10.00
Portugal 0% 0.00
Semi-final10 pts 30
France 100% 10.00
Spain 100% 10.00
England 100% 10.00
Portugal 0% 0.00
Finalist15 pts 15
Spain 100% 15.00
England 0% 0.00
3rd-place match10 pts 10
France 100% 10.00
Portugal 0% 0.00
Top scorerexpected 0 of 30 max
Kane 0.0% 0.00
#6
Montran Claudia Draw-prone Volatile Riding variance
Fingerprint pool percentile per axis
Accuracy 60 Scoring 67 Consistency 38 Stability 12 Draw-love 79 Risk 42 Contrarian 48 Aggression 71 Points per match how often each score lands
17% 0 24% 2 19% 5 1% 6 28% 7 1% 8 8% 10 3% 12 points earned in a match → share of matches Scoring Points (official) 514
Per match 4.62
Median 5
Consistency (±) 3.29
Best / worst 12 / 0
Blank-match rate 41%
MOTD / regular ppm 6.75 / 4.44
Accuracy Outcome correct 59%
Exact score 11%
Home / away goals 33% / 34%
Draw precision 36%
Draw recall 28%
Robust-floor rate 22%
Style Crowd-follow 80%
Contrarian 20%
Goal aggression 2.78 goals/game
Draw bias 22%
Big-margin picks 12%
Scoreline variety 3.37 bits
Home bias +0.29
Standing Current rank #6
Mean rank 7.39
Best / worst #2 / #18
Stability 67
Net climb -1
Time in top 5 12%
Momentum -2.82
Prediction twin Stochastic Parrot 70.2/100
Polar opposite Cri 40.3/100
Typicality 60.2 uniqueness 39.8
Coverage 98% 2 missed
Against the odds vs the pre-match favourite & a model of each game
Backs the favourite 76% 24% upsets · 33% land
Expected → actual pts 429.2 → 471 +41.8 vs pick-value
Results vs odds +4.7 60 right · 55.3 expected
Deserved standing #15 real #6 · +9 luck
Tournament bracket — expected points EV = points × probability, from simulations & pre-match odds
Group placement 160 of 240 max
Knockout 223 of 327 max
Top scorer 0 of 30 max
Grand EV 383 of 597 max
Bonus uncertainty 80% range 383–383 pts · σ 0 · one shared simulated tournament per trial
Group finishing positionsexpected 160 of 240 max
Group A0
1st South Korea 0% 0.00
2nd Mexico 0% 0.00
3rd Czech Republic 0% 0.00
4th South Africa 0% 0.00
Group B20
1st Switzerland 100% 5.00
2nd Canada 100% 5.00
3rd Bosnia & Herzegovina 100% 5.00
4th Qatar 100% 5.00
Group C20
1st Brazil 100% 5.00
2nd Morocco 100% 5.00
3rd Scotland 100% 5.00
4th Haiti 100% 5.00
Group D5
1st Türkiye 0% 0.00
2nd USA 0% 0.00
3rd Paraguay 100% 5.00
4th Australia 0% 0.00
Group E20
1st Germany 100% 5.00
2nd Côte d'Ivoire 100% 5.00
3rd Ecuador 100% 5.00
4th Curaçao 100% 5.00
Group F20
1st Netherlands 100% 5.00
2nd Japan 100% 5.00
3rd Sweden 100% 5.00
4th Tunisia 100% 5.00
Group G10
1st Belgium 100% 5.00
2nd Iran 0% 0.00
3rd Egypt 0% 0.00
4th New Zealand 100% 5.00
Group H5
1st Spain 100% 5.00
2nd Uruguay 0% 0.00
3rd Saudi Arabia 0% 0.00
4th Cape Verde 0% 0.00
Group I20
1st France 100% 5.00
2nd Norway 100% 5.00
3rd Senegal 100% 5.00
4th Iraq 100% 5.00
Group J10
1st Argentina 100% 5.00
2nd Algeria 0% 0.00
3rd Austria 0% 0.00
4th Jordan 100% 5.00
Group K10
1st Portugal 0% 0.00
2nd Colombia 0% 0.00
3rd DR Congo 100% 5.00
4th Uzbekistan 100% 5.00
Group L20
1st England 100% 5.00
2nd Croatia 100% 5.00
3rd Ghana 100% 5.00
4th Panama 100% 5.00
Knockout roundsexpected 223 of 327 max
Round of 322 pts 52
Mexico 100% 2.00
Canada 100% 2.00
Germany 100% 2.00
Scotland 0% 0.00
Netherlands 100% 2.00
Morocco 100% 2.00
Brazil 100% 2.00
Japan 100% 2.00
France 100% 2.00
Sweden 100% 2.00
Côte d'Ivoire 100% 2.00
Norway 100% 2.00
South Korea 0% 0.00
Ecuador 100% 2.00
England 100% 2.00
Senegal 100% 2.00
Türkiye 0% 0.00
Austria 100% 2.00
Belgium 100% 2.00
Czech Republic 0% 0.00
Colombia 100% 2.00
Croatia 100% 2.00
Spain 100% 2.00
Algeria 100% 2.00
Switzerland 100% 2.00
Egypt 100% 2.00
Argentina 100% 2.00
Uruguay 0% 0.00
Portugal 100% 2.00
Ghana 100% 2.00
USA 100% 2.00
Iran 0% 0.00
Round of 163 pts 36
Germany 0% 0.00
France 100% 3.00
Canada 100% 3.00
Netherlands 0% 0.00
Brazil 100% 3.00
Norway 100% 3.00
South Korea 0% 0.00
England 100% 3.00
Colombia 100% 3.00
Spain 100% 3.00
Türkiye 0% 0.00
Belgium 100% 3.00
Argentina 100% 3.00
USA 100% 3.00
Switzerland 100% 3.00
Portugal 100% 3.00
Quarter-final10 pts 50
France 100% 10.00
Netherlands 0% 0.00
Spain 100% 10.00
Türkiye 0% 0.00
Brazil 0% 0.00
England 100% 10.00
Argentina 100% 10.00
Switzerland 100% 10.00
Semi-final10 pts 30
France 100% 10.00
Spain 100% 10.00
Brazil 0% 0.00
Argentina 100% 10.00
Finalist15 pts 15
Spain 100% 15.00
Brazil 0% 0.00
3rd-place match10 pts 10
France 100% 10.00
Argentina 0% 0.00
Top scorerexpected 0 of 30 max
Kane 0.0% 0.00
#7
marcus23 Marcus Lionel Sharp reader Goal-happy Big-margin gambler Riding variance
Fingerprint pool percentile per axis
Accuracy 79 Scoring 71 Consistency 98 Stability 65 Draw-love 44 Risk 90 Contrarian 37 Aggression 94 Points per match how often each score lands
14% 0 24% 2 21% 5 1% 6 29% 7 4% 8 8% 10 points earned in a match → share of matches Scoring Points (official) 529
Per match 4.69
Median 5
Consistency (±) 2.98
Best / worst 10 / 0
Blank-match rate 38%
MOTD / regular ppm 5.25 / 4.65
Accuracy Outcome correct 62%
Exact score 8%
Home / away goals 33% / 36%
Draw precision 38%
Draw recall 17%
Robust-floor rate 30%
Style Crowd-follow 82%
Contrarian 18%
Goal aggression 3.12 goals/game
Draw bias 12%
Big-margin picks 24%
Scoreline variety 3.5 bits
Home bias +0.46
Standing Current rank #7
Mean rank 6.34
Best / worst #1 / #16
Stability 80
Net climb +9
Time in top 5 40%
Momentum -3.49
Prediction twin gnita 71.1/100
Polar opposite Cri 47.8/100
Typicality 61.5 uniqueness 38.5
Coverage 100% 0 missed
Against the odds vs the pre-match favourite & a model of each game
Backs the favourite 83% 17% upsets · 33% land
Expected → actual pts 444.2 → 488 +43.8 vs pick-value
Results vs odds +6.4 65 right · 58.6 expected
Deserved standing #9 real #7 · +2 luck
Tournament bracket — expected points EV = points × probability, from simulations & pre-match odds
Group placement 115 of 240 max
Knockout 253 of 327 max
Top scorer 0 of 30 max
Grand EV 368 of 597 max
Bonus uncertainty 80% range 368–368 pts · σ 0 · one shared simulated tournament per trial
Group finishing positionsexpected 115 of 240 max
Group A5
1st Mexico 100% 5.00
2nd South Korea 0% 0.00
3rd Czech Republic 0% 0.00
4th South Africa 0% 0.00
Group B20
1st Switzerland 100% 5.00
2nd Canada 100% 5.00
3rd Bosnia & Herzegovina 100% 5.00
4th Qatar 100% 5.00
Group C20
1st Brazil 100% 5.00
2nd Morocco 100% 5.00
3rd Scotland 100% 5.00
4th Haiti 100% 5.00
Group D0
1st Türkiye 0% 0.00
2nd USA 0% 0.00
3rd Australia 0% 0.00
4th Paraguay 0% 0.00
Group E5
1st Germany 100% 5.00
2nd Ecuador 0% 0.00
3rd Curaçao 0% 0.00
4th Côte d'Ivoire 0% 0.00
Group F10
1st Netherlands 100% 5.00
2nd Sweden 0% 0.00
3rd Japan 0% 0.00
4th Tunisia 100% 5.00
Group G10
1st Belgium 100% 5.00
2nd Egypt 100% 5.00
3rd New Zealand 0% 0.00
4th Iran 0% 0.00
Group H5
1st Spain 100% 5.00
2nd Uruguay 0% 0.00
3rd Saudi Arabia 0% 0.00
4th Cape Verde 0% 0.00
Group I10
1st France 100% 5.00
2nd Norway 100% 5.00
3rd Iraq 0% 0.00
4th Senegal 0% 0.00
Group J20
1st Argentina 100% 5.00
2nd Austria 100% 5.00
3rd Algeria 100% 5.00
4th Jordan 100% 5.00
Group K0
1st Portugal 0% 0.00
2nd Colombia 0% 0.00
3rd Uzbekistan 0% 0.00
4th DR Congo 0% 0.00
Group L10
1st England 100% 5.00
2nd Croatia 100% 5.00
3rd Panama 0% 0.00
4th Ghana 0% 0.00
Knockout roundsexpected 253 of 327 max
Round of 322 pts 50
Mexico 100% 2.00
South Korea 0% 0.00
Switzerland 100% 2.00
Canada 100% 2.00
Brazil 100% 2.00
Morocco 100% 2.00
Türkiye 0% 0.00
USA 100% 2.00
Germany 100% 2.00
Ecuador 100% 2.00
Netherlands 100% 2.00
Sweden 100% 2.00
Belgium 100% 2.00
Egypt 100% 2.00
Spain 100% 2.00
Uruguay 0% 0.00
France 100% 2.00
Norway 100% 2.00
Argentina 100% 2.00
Austria 100% 2.00
Portugal 100% 2.00
Colombia 100% 2.00
England 100% 2.00
Croatia 100% 2.00
Czech Republic 0% 0.00
Bosnia & Herzegovina 100% 2.00
Scotland 0% 0.00
Australia 100% 2.00
Japan 100% 2.00
New Zealand 0% 0.00
Saudi Arabia 0% 0.00
Algeria 100% 2.00
Round of 163 pts 33
South Korea 0% 0.00
Germany 0% 0.00
Netherlands 0% 0.00
Brazil 100% 3.00
France 100% 3.00
Norway 100% 3.00
Mexico 100% 3.00
England 100% 3.00
Türkiye 0% 0.00
Belgium 100% 3.00
Croatia 0% 0.00
Spain 100% 3.00
Switzerland 100% 3.00
Argentina 100% 3.00
Portugal 100% 3.00
USA 100% 3.00
Quarter-final10 pts 50
France 100% 10.00
Netherlands 0% 0.00
Brazil 0% 0.00
England 100% 10.00
Spain 100% 10.00
Belgium 100% 10.00
Argentina 100% 10.00
Portugal 0% 0.00
Semi-final10 pts 40
France 100% 10.00
Spain 100% 10.00
England 100% 10.00
Argentina 100% 10.00
Finalist15 pts 30
Spain 100% 15.00
Argentina 100% 15.00
3rd-place match10 pts 20
France 100% 10.00
England 100% 10.00
Top scorerexpected 0 of 30 max
Ferran Torres 0.0% 0.00
#8
mbogdan Bogdan High scorer Sharp reader Riding variance
Fingerprint pool percentile per axis
Accuracy 75 Scoring 75 Consistency 81 Stability 50 Draw-love 60 Risk 42 Contrarian 21 Aggression 50 Points per match how often each score lands
15% 0 24% 2 20% 5 2% 6 28% 7 2% 8 9% 10 1% 12 points earned in a match → share of matches Scoring Points (official) 530
Per match 4.72
Median 5
Consistency (±) 3.12
Best / worst 12 / 0
Blank-match rate 38%
MOTD / regular ppm 5.5 / 4.65
Accuracy Outcome correct 62%
Exact score 10%
Home / away goals 34% / 36%
Draw precision 44%
Draw recall 24%
Robust-floor rate 28%
Style Crowd-follow 84%
Contrarian 16%
Goal aggression 2.56 goals/game
Draw bias 16%
Big-margin picks 12%
Scoreline variety 3.42 bits
Home bias +0.4
Standing Current rank #8
Mean rank 6.4
Best / worst #2 / #26
Stability 79
Net climb +18
Time in top 5 73%
Momentum -3.12
Prediction twin Dali002 74.1/100
Polar opposite Cri 40.3/100
Typicality 61.8 uniqueness 38.2
Coverage 98% 2 missed
Against the odds vs the pre-match favourite & a model of each game
Backs the favourite 79% 21% upsets · 43% land
Expected → actual pts 437 → 481 +44 vs pick-value
Results vs odds +6.8 63 right · 56.2 expected
Deserved standing #11 real #8 · +3 luck
Tournament bracket — expected points EV = points × probability, from simulations & pre-match odds
Group placement 160 of 240 max
Knockout 205 of 327 max
Top scorer 0 of 30 max
Grand EV 365 of 597 max
Bonus uncertainty 80% range 365–365 pts · σ 0 · one shared simulated tournament per trial
Group finishing positionsexpected 160 of 240 max
Group A10
1st Mexico 100% 5.00
2nd Czech Republic 0% 0.00
3rd South Korea 100% 5.00
4th South Africa 0% 0.00
Group B20
1st Switzerland 100% 5.00
2nd Canada 100% 5.00
3rd Bosnia & Herzegovina 100% 5.00
4th Qatar 100% 5.00
Group C20
1st Brazil 100% 5.00
2nd Morocco 100% 5.00
3rd Scotland 100% 5.00
4th Haiti 100% 5.00
Group D5
1st Türkiye 0% 0.00
2nd USA 0% 0.00
3rd Paraguay 100% 5.00
4th Australia 0% 0.00
Group E10
1st Germany 100% 5.00
2nd Ecuador 0% 0.00
3rd Côte d'Ivoire 0% 0.00
4th Curaçao 100% 5.00
Group F10
1st Netherlands 100% 5.00
2nd Sweden 0% 0.00
3rd Japan 0% 0.00
4th Tunisia 100% 5.00
Group G10
1st Belgium 100% 5.00
2nd Egypt 100% 5.00
3rd New Zealand 0% 0.00
4th Iran 0% 0.00
Group H5
1st Spain 100% 5.00
2nd Uruguay 0% 0.00
3rd Saudi Arabia 0% 0.00
4th Cape Verde 0% 0.00
Group I20
1st France 100% 5.00
2nd Norway 100% 5.00
3rd Senegal 100% 5.00
4th Iraq 100% 5.00
Group J20
1st Argentina 100% 5.00
2nd Austria 100% 5.00
3rd Algeria 100% 5.00
4th Jordan 100% 5.00
Group K10
1st Portugal 0% 0.00
2nd Colombia 0% 0.00
3rd DR Congo 100% 5.00
4th Uzbekistan 100% 5.00
Group L20
1st England 100% 5.00
2nd Croatia 100% 5.00
3rd Ghana 100% 5.00
4th Panama 100% 5.00
Knockout roundsexpected 205 of 327 max
Round of 322 pts 50
Czech Republic 0% 0.00
Canada 100% 2.00
Germany 100% 2.00
Scotland 0% 0.00
Netherlands 100% 2.00
Morocco 100% 2.00
Brazil 100% 2.00
Sweden 100% 2.00
France 100% 2.00
Japan 100% 2.00
Ecuador 100% 2.00
Norway 100% 2.00
Mexico 100% 2.00
Saudi Arabia 0% 0.00
England 100% 2.00
Algeria 100% 2.00
Türkiye 0% 0.00
Bosnia & Herzegovina 100% 2.00
Belgium 100% 2.00
South Korea 0% 0.00
Colombia 100% 2.00
Croatia 100% 2.00
Spain 100% 2.00
Austria 100% 2.00
Switzerland 100% 2.00
New Zealand 0% 0.00
Argentina 100% 2.00
Uruguay 0% 0.00
Portugal 100% 2.00
Côte d'Ivoire 100% 2.00
USA 100% 2.00
Egypt 100% 2.00
Round of 163 pts 30
Germany 0% 0.00
France 100% 3.00
Czech Republic 0% 0.00
Netherlands 0% 0.00
Brazil 100% 3.00
Norway 100% 3.00
Mexico 100% 3.00
England 100% 3.00
Croatia 0% 0.00
Spain 100% 3.00
Türkiye 0% 0.00
South Korea 0% 0.00
Argentina 100% 3.00
USA 100% 3.00
Switzerland 100% 3.00
Portugal 100% 3.00
Quarter-final10 pts 40
France 100% 10.00
Netherlands 0% 0.00
Spain 100% 10.00
Türkiye 0% 0.00
Brazil 0% 0.00
England 100% 10.00
Argentina 100% 10.00
Portugal 0% 0.00
Semi-final10 pts 30
France 100% 10.00
Spain 100% 10.00
England 100% 10.00
Portugal 0% 0.00
Finalist15 pts 15
Spain 100% 15.00
England 0% 0.00
3rd-place match10 pts 10
France 100% 10.00
Portugal 0% 0.00
Top scorerexpected 0 of 30 max
Kane 0.0% 0.00
#9
Raisa Alisa Chalk-loyal Riding variance
Fingerprint pool percentile per axis
Accuracy 54 Scoring 60 Consistency 75 Stability 38 Draw-love 44 Risk 35 Contrarian 17 Aggression 44 Points per match how often each score lands
16% 0 25% 2 20% 5 2% 6 26% 7 1% 8 9% 10 1% 12 points earned in a match → share of matches Scoring Points (official) 516
Per match 4.5
Median 5
Consistency (±) 3.14
Best / worst 12 / 0
Blank-match rate 41%
MOTD / regular ppm 5 / 4.46
Accuracy Outcome correct 59%
Exact score 10%
Home / away goals 35% / 36%
Draw precision 23%
Draw recall 10%
Robust-floor rate 26%
Style Crowd-follow 86%
Contrarian 14%
Goal aggression 2.54 goals/game
Draw bias 12%
Big-margin picks 12%
Scoreline variety 3.35 bits
Home bias +0.44
Standing Current rank #9
Mean rank 9.87
Best / worst #4 / #14
Stability 77
Net climb +0
Time in top 5 6%
Momentum -3.5
Prediction twin Stochastic Parrot 71.7/100
Polar opposite Cri 44.1/100
Typicality 61.6 uniqueness 38.4
Coverage 100% 0 missed
Against the odds vs the pre-match favourite & a model of each game
Backs the favourite 84% 16% upsets · 29% land
Expected → actual pts 448.2 → 468 +19.8 vs pick-value
Results vs odds +3.1 61 right · 57.9 expected
Deserved standing #5 real #9 · -4 luck
Tournament bracket — expected points EV = points × probability, from simulations & pre-match odds
Group placement 160 of 240 max
Knockout 198 of 327 max
Top scorer 0 of 30 max
Grand EV 358 of 597 max
Bonus uncertainty 80% range 358–358 pts · σ 0 · one shared simulated tournament per trial
Group finishing positionsexpected 160 of 240 max
Group A5
1st Mexico 100% 5.00
2nd South Korea 0% 0.00
3rd Czech Republic 0% 0.00
4th South Africa 0% 0.00
Group B20
1st Switzerland 100% 5.00
2nd Canada 100% 5.00
3rd Bosnia & Herzegovina 100% 5.00
4th Qatar 100% 5.00
Group C20
1st Brazil 100% 5.00
2nd Morocco 100% 5.00
3rd Scotland 100% 5.00
4th Haiti 100% 5.00
Group D5
1st Türkiye 0% 0.00
2nd USA 0% 0.00
3rd Paraguay 100% 5.00
4th Australia 0% 0.00
Group E10
1st Germany 100% 5.00
2nd Ecuador 0% 0.00
3rd Côte d'Ivoire 0% 0.00
4th Curaçao 100% 5.00
Group F10
1st Netherlands 100% 5.00
2nd Sweden 0% 0.00
3rd Japan 0% 0.00
4th Tunisia 100% 5.00
Group G20
1st Belgium 100% 5.00
2nd Egypt 100% 5.00
3rd Iran 100% 5.00
4th New Zealand 100% 5.00
Group H10
1st Spain 100% 5.00
2nd Uruguay 0% 0.00
3rd Cape Verde 0% 0.00
4th Saudi Arabia 100% 5.00
Group I20
1st France 100% 5.00
2nd Norway 100% 5.00
3rd Senegal 100% 5.00
4th Iraq 100% 5.00
Group J20
1st Argentina 100% 5.00
2nd Austria 100% 5.00
3rd Algeria 100% 5.00
4th Jordan 100% 5.00
Group K0
1st Portugal 0% 0.00
2nd Colombia 0% 0.00
3rd Uzbekistan 0% 0.00
4th DR Congo 0% 0.00
Group L20
1st England 100% 5.00
2nd Croatia 100% 5.00
3rd Ghana 100% 5.00
4th Panama 100% 5.00
Knockout roundsexpected 198 of 327 max
Round of 322 pts 54
Mexico 100% 2.00
South Korea 0% 0.00
Switzerland 100% 2.00
Canada 100% 2.00
Brazil 100% 2.00
Morocco 100% 2.00
Türkiye 0% 0.00
USA 100% 2.00
Germany 100% 2.00
Ecuador 100% 2.00
Netherlands 100% 2.00
Sweden 100% 2.00
Belgium 100% 2.00
Egypt 100% 2.00
Spain 100% 2.00
Uruguay 0% 0.00
France 100% 2.00
Norway 100% 2.00
Argentina 100% 2.00
Austria 100% 2.00
Portugal 100% 2.00
Colombia 100% 2.00
England 100% 2.00
Croatia 100% 2.00
Czech Republic 0% 0.00
Bosnia & Herzegovina 100% 2.00
Scotland 0% 0.00
Côte d'Ivoire 100% 2.00
Japan 100% 2.00
Senegal 100% 2.00
Algeria 100% 2.00
Ghana 100% 2.00
Round of 163 pts 39
Canada 100% 3.00
Germany 0% 0.00
Netherlands 0% 0.00
Brazil 100% 3.00
France 100% 3.00
Norway 100% 3.00
Mexico 100% 3.00
England 100% 3.00
Türkiye 0% 0.00
Belgium 100% 3.00
Colombia 100% 3.00
Spain 100% 3.00
Switzerland 100% 3.00
Argentina 100% 3.00
Portugal 100% 3.00
USA 100% 3.00
Quarter-final10 pts 50
France 100% 10.00
Netherlands 0% 0.00
Brazil 0% 0.00
England 100% 10.00
Spain 100% 10.00
Belgium 100% 10.00
Argentina 100% 10.00
Portugal 0% 0.00
Semi-final10 pts 30
France 100% 10.00
Spain 100% 10.00
England 100% 10.00
Portugal 0% 0.00
Finalist15 pts 15
Spain 100% 15.00
England 0% 0.00
3rd-place match10 pts 10
France 100% 10.00
Portugal 0% 0.00
Top scorerexpected 0 of 30 max
Kane 0.0% 0.00
#10
Gullit26 Gullit26 High scorer Draw-prone Riding variance Maverick
Fingerprint pool percentile per axis
Accuracy 48 Scoring 79 Consistency 60 Stability 50 Draw-love 75 Risk 56 Contrarian 54 Aggression 29 Points per match how often each score lands
14% 0 28% 2 14% 5 2% 6 28% 7 3% 8 12% 10 points earned in a match → share of matches Scoring Points (official) 525
Per match 4.73
Median 5
Consistency (±) 3.2
Best / worst 10 / 0
Blank-match rate 42%
MOTD / regular ppm 5.25 / 4.69
Accuracy Outcome correct 58%
Exact score 12%
Home / away goals 34% / 43%
Draw precision 38%
Draw recall 28%
Robust-floor rate 25%
Style Crowd-follow 79%
Contrarian 21%
Goal aggression 2.39 goals/game
Draw bias 21%
Big-margin picks 14%
Scoreline variety 3.31 bits
Home bias +0.54
Standing Current rank #10
Mean rank 12.63
Best / worst #7 / #23
Stability 79
Net climb +13
Time in top 5 0%
Momentum -1.13
Prediction twin Radu V 69.4/100
Polar opposite Cri 45.9/100
Typicality 59.9 uniqueness 40.1
Coverage 97% 3 missed
Against the odds vs the pre-match favourite & a model of each game
Backs the favourite 77% 23% upsets · 30% land
Expected → actual pts 432.1 → 478 +45.9 vs pick-value
Results vs odds +3.5 59 right · 55.5 expected
Deserved standing #13 real #10 · +3 luck
Tournament bracket — expected points EV = points × probability, from simulations & pre-match odds
Group placement 150 of 240 max
Knockout 167 of 327 max
Top scorer 30 of 30 max
Grand EV 347 of 597 max
Bonus uncertainty 80% range 347–347 pts · σ 0 · one shared simulated tournament per trial
Group finishing positionsexpected 150 of 240 max
Group A10
1st Mexico 100% 5.00
2nd Czech Republic 0% 0.00
3rd South Korea 100% 5.00
4th South Africa 0% 0.00
Group B10
1st Canada 0% 0.00
2nd Switzerland 0% 0.00
3rd Bosnia & Herzegovina 100% 5.00
4th Qatar 100% 5.00
Group C20
1st Brazil 100% 5.00
2nd Morocco 100% 5.00
3rd Scotland 100% 5.00
4th Haiti 100% 5.00
Group D10
1st USA 100% 5.00
2nd Türkiye 0% 0.00
3rd Paraguay 100% 5.00
4th Australia 0% 0.00
Group E5
1st Germany 100% 5.00
2nd Ecuador 0% 0.00
3rd Curaçao 0% 0.00
4th Côte d'Ivoire 0% 0.00
Group F10
1st Netherlands 100% 5.00
2nd Japan 100% 5.00
3rd Tunisia 0% 0.00
4th Sweden 0% 0.00
Group G10
1st Belgium 100% 5.00
2nd Egypt 100% 5.00
3rd New Zealand 0% 0.00
4th Iran 0% 0.00
Group H5
1st Spain 100% 5.00
2nd Uruguay 0% 0.00
3rd Saudi Arabia 0% 0.00
4th Cape Verde 0% 0.00
Group I20
1st France 100% 5.00
2nd Norway 100% 5.00
3rd Senegal 100% 5.00
4th Iraq 100% 5.00
Group J20
1st Argentina 100% 5.00
2nd Austria 100% 5.00
3rd Algeria 100% 5.00
4th Jordan 100% 5.00
Group K10
1st Portugal 0% 0.00
2nd Colombia 0% 0.00
3rd DR Congo 100% 5.00
4th Uzbekistan 100% 5.00
Group L20
1st England 100% 5.00
2nd Croatia 100% 5.00
3rd Ghana 100% 5.00
4th Panama 100% 5.00
Knockout roundsexpected 167 of 327 max
Round of 322 pts 52
Mexico 100% 2.00
Czech Republic 0% 0.00
Canada 100% 2.00
Switzerland 100% 2.00
Brazil 100% 2.00
Morocco 100% 2.00
USA 100% 2.00
Türkiye 0% 0.00
Germany 100% 2.00
Ecuador 100% 2.00
Netherlands 100% 2.00
Japan 100% 2.00
Belgium 100% 2.00
Egypt 100% 2.00
Spain 100% 2.00
Uruguay 0% 0.00
France 100% 2.00
Norway 100% 2.00
Argentina 100% 2.00
Austria 100% 2.00
Portugal 100% 2.00
Colombia 100% 2.00
England 100% 2.00
Croatia 100% 2.00
South Korea 0% 0.00
Bosnia & Herzegovina 100% 2.00
Paraguay 100% 2.00
Tunisia 0% 0.00
New Zealand 0% 0.00
Senegal 100% 2.00
Algeria 100% 2.00
Ghana 100% 2.00
Round of 163 pts 30
Czech Republic 0% 0.00
Germany 0% 0.00
Netherlands 0% 0.00
Brazil 100% 3.00
France 100% 3.00
Ecuador 0% 0.00
Mexico 100% 3.00
England 100% 3.00
USA 100% 3.00
Belgium 100% 3.00
Colombia 100% 3.00
Spain 100% 3.00
Algeria 0% 0.00
Argentina 100% 3.00
Portugal 100% 3.00
Türkiye 0% 0.00
Quarter-final10 pts 40
France 100% 10.00
Netherlands 0% 0.00
Brazil 0% 0.00
Mexico 0% 0.00
Spain 100% 10.00
Belgium 100% 10.00
Argentina 100% 10.00
Portugal 0% 0.00
Semi-final10 pts 30
France 100% 10.00
Spain 100% 10.00
Brazil 0% 0.00
Argentina 100% 10.00
Finalist15 pts 15
France 0% 0.00
Argentina 100% 15.00
Top scorerexpected 30 of 30 max
Mbappe 100.0% 30.00
#11
ri2c Corina Draw-prone Volatile Riding variance Maverick
Fingerprint pool percentile per axis
Accuracy 44 Scoring 40 Consistency 33 Stability 23 Draw-love 83 Risk 23 Contrarian 63 Aggression 63 Points per match how often each score lands
25% 0 17% 2 17% 5 1% 6 30% 7 1% 8 8% 10 1% 12 points earned in a match → share of matches Scoring Points (official) 492
Per match 4.32
Median 5
Consistency (±) 3.32
Best / worst 12 / 0
Blank-match rate 42%
MOTD / regular ppm 3.75 / 4.36
Accuracy Outcome correct 58%
Exact score 9%
Home / away goals 27% / 33%
Draw precision 44%
Draw recall 34%
Robust-floor rate 25%
Style Crowd-follow 75%
Contrarian 25%
Goal aggression 2.72 goals/game
Draw bias 22%
Big-margin picks 10%
Scoreline variety 3.41 bits
Home bias +0.55
Standing Current rank #11
Mean rank 13.68
Best / worst #8 / #21
Stability 69
Net climb +2
Time in top 5 0%
Momentum -3.92
Prediction twin Inoasca 66.7/100
Polar opposite Cri 46.7/100
Typicality 58 uniqueness 42
Coverage 100% 0 missed
Against the odds vs the pre-match favourite & a model of each game
Backs the favourite 71% 29% upsets · 37% land
Expected → actual pts 428.1 → 449 +20.9 vs pick-value
Results vs odds +5.6 60 right · 54.4 expected
Deserved standing #17 real #11 · +6 luck
Tournament bracket — expected points EV = points × probability, from simulations & pre-match odds
Group placement 115 of 240 max
Knockout 248 of 327 max
Top scorer 0 of 30 max
Grand EV 363 of 597 max
Bonus uncertainty 80% range 363–363 pts · σ 0 · one shared simulated tournament per trial
Group finishing positionsexpected 115 of 240 max
Group A5
1st Mexico 100% 5.00
2nd Czech Republic 0% 0.00
3rd South Africa 0% 0.00
4th South Korea 0% 0.00
Group B10
1st Switzerland 100% 5.00
2nd Qatar 0% 0.00
3rd Bosnia & Herzegovina 100% 5.00
4th Canada 0% 0.00
Group C5
1st Brazil 100% 5.00
2nd Scotland 0% 0.00
3rd Haiti 0% 0.00
4th Morocco 0% 0.00
Group D0
1st Paraguay 0% 0.00
2nd Türkiye 0% 0.00
3rd Australia 0% 0.00
4th USA 0% 0.00
Group E10
1st Germany 100% 5.00
2nd Ecuador 0% 0.00
3rd Côte d'Ivoire 0% 0.00
4th Curaçao 100% 5.00
Group F10
1st Netherlands 100% 5.00
2nd Sweden 0% 0.00
3rd Japan 0% 0.00
4th Tunisia 100% 5.00
Group G10
1st Belgium 100% 5.00
2nd Iran 0% 0.00
3rd Egypt 0% 0.00
4th New Zealand 100% 5.00
Group H5
1st Spain 100% 5.00
2nd Uruguay 0% 0.00
3rd Saudi Arabia 0% 0.00
4th Cape Verde 0% 0.00
Group I20
1st France 100% 5.00
2nd Norway 100% 5.00
3rd Senegal 100% 5.00
4th Iraq 100% 5.00
Group J20
1st Argentina 100% 5.00
2nd Austria 100% 5.00
3rd Algeria 100% 5.00
4th Jordan 100% 5.00
Group K0
1st Portugal 0% 0.00
2nd Colombia 0% 0.00
3rd Uzbekistan 0% 0.00
4th DR Congo 0% 0.00
Group L20
1st England 100% 5.00
2nd Croatia 100% 5.00
3rd Ghana 100% 5.00
4th Panama 100% 5.00
Knockout roundsexpected 248 of 327 max
Round of 322 pts 48
Czech Republic 0% 0.00
Qatar 0% 0.00
Germany 100% 2.00
Japan 100% 2.00
Netherlands 100% 2.00
Scotland 0% 0.00
Brazil 100% 2.00
Sweden 100% 2.00
France 100% 2.00
Saudi Arabia 0% 0.00
Ecuador 100% 2.00
Norway 100% 2.00
Mexico 100% 2.00
Côte d'Ivoire 100% 2.00
England 100% 2.00
Uzbekistan 0% 0.00
Paraguay 100% 2.00
Bosnia & Herzegovina 100% 2.00
Belgium 100% 2.00
South Africa 100% 2.00
Colombia 100% 2.00
Croatia 100% 2.00
Spain 100% 2.00
Austria 100% 2.00
Switzerland 100% 2.00
Egypt 100% 2.00
Argentina 100% 2.00
Uruguay 0% 0.00
Portugal 100% 2.00
Ghana 100% 2.00
Türkiye 0% 0.00
Iran 0% 0.00
Round of 163 pts 30
Czech Republic 0% 0.00
Germany 0% 0.00
Netherlands 0% 0.00
Brazil 100% 3.00
France 100% 3.00
Ecuador 0% 0.00
Mexico 100% 3.00
England 100% 3.00
Paraguay 100% 3.00
Belgium 100% 3.00
Croatia 0% 0.00
Spain 100% 3.00
Switzerland 100% 3.00
Argentina 100% 3.00
Portugal 100% 3.00
Türkiye 0% 0.00
Quarter-final10 pts 50
France 100% 10.00
Czech Republic 0% 0.00
Brazil 0% 0.00
England 100% 10.00
Spain 100% 10.00
Belgium 100% 10.00
Argentina 100% 10.00
Portugal 0% 0.00
Semi-final10 pts 40
France 100% 10.00
Spain 100% 10.00
England 100% 10.00
Argentina 100% 10.00
Finalist15 pts 30
Spain 100% 15.00
Argentina 100% 15.00
3rd-place match10 pts 20
France 100% 10.00
England 100% 10.00
Top scorerexpected 0 of 30 max
Yamal 0.0% 0.00
#12
The Hound Rares Low scorer Cautious Draw-prone Volatile Due a bounce Maverick
Fingerprint pool percentile per axis
Accuracy 10 Scoring 17 Consistency 10 Stability 23 Draw-love 90 Risk 75 Contrarian 69 Aggression 13 Points per match how often each score lands
26% 0 23% 2 16% 5 21% 7 3% 8 10% 10 1% 12 points earned in a match → share of matches Scoring Points (official) 480
Per match 4.07
Median 5
Consistency (±) 3.42
Best / worst 12 / 0
Blank-match rate 49%
MOTD / regular ppm 5.25 / 3.97
Accuracy Outcome correct 51%
Exact score 11%
Home / away goals 33% / 35%
Draw precision 17%
Draw recall 14%
Robust-floor rate 23%
Style Crowd-follow 74%
Contrarian 26%
Goal aggression 2.19 goals/game
Draw bias 23%
Big-margin picks 18%
Scoreline variety 3.58 bits
Home bias +0.42
Standing Current rank #12
Mean rank 14.38
Best / worst #3 / #21
Stability 69
Net climb -9
Time in top 5 1%
Momentum +0.33
Prediction twin raluca 69/100
Polar opposite Alexandrai 48.4/100
Typicality 58.2 uniqueness 41.8
Coverage 100% 0 missed
Against the odds vs the pre-match favourite & a model of each game
Backs the favourite 73% 27% upsets · 18% land
Expected → actual pts 447.7 → 423 -24.7 vs pick-value
Results vs odds -3 53 right · 56 expected
Deserved standing #6 real #12 · -6 luck
Tournament bracket — expected points EV = points × probability, from simulations & pre-match odds
Group placement 180 of 240 max
Knockout 195 of 327 max
Top scorer 0 of 30 max
Grand EV 375 of 597 max
Bonus uncertainty 80% range 375–375 pts · σ 0 · one shared simulated tournament per trial
Group finishing positionsexpected 180 of 240 max
Group A5
1st Mexico 100% 5.00
2nd South Korea 0% 0.00
3rd Czech Republic 0% 0.00
4th South Africa 0% 0.00
Group B20
1st Switzerland 100% 5.00
2nd Canada 100% 5.00
3rd Bosnia & Herzegovina 100% 5.00
4th Qatar 100% 5.00
Group C20
1st Brazil 100% 5.00
2nd Morocco 100% 5.00
3rd Scotland 100% 5.00
4th Haiti 100% 5.00
Group D10
1st USA 100% 5.00
2nd Türkiye 0% 0.00
3rd Paraguay 100% 5.00
4th Australia 0% 0.00
Group E10
1st Germany 100% 5.00
2nd Ecuador 0% 0.00
3rd Côte d'Ivoire 0% 0.00
4th Curaçao 100% 5.00
Group F20
1st Netherlands 100% 5.00
2nd Japan 100% 5.00
3rd Sweden 100% 5.00
4th Tunisia 100% 5.00
Group G20
1st Belgium 100% 5.00
2nd Egypt 100% 5.00
3rd Iran 100% 5.00
4th New Zealand 100% 5.00
Group H5
1st Spain 100% 5.00
2nd Uruguay 0% 0.00
3rd Saudi Arabia 0% 0.00
4th Cape Verde 0% 0.00
Group I20
1st France 100% 5.00
2nd Norway 100% 5.00
3rd Senegal 100% 5.00
4th Iraq 100% 5.00
Group J20
1st Argentina 100% 5.00
2nd Austria 100% 5.00
3rd Algeria 100% 5.00
4th Jordan 100% 5.00
Group K10
1st Portugal 0% 0.00
2nd Colombia 0% 0.00
3rd DR Congo 100% 5.00
4th Uzbekistan 100% 5.00
Group L20
1st England 100% 5.00
2nd Croatia 100% 5.00
3rd Ghana 100% 5.00
4th Panama 100% 5.00
Knockout roundsexpected 195 of 327 max
Round of 322 pts 54
South Korea 0% 0.00
Canada 100% 2.00
Germany 100% 2.00
Paraguay 100% 2.00
Netherlands 100% 2.00
Morocco 100% 2.00
Brazil 100% 2.00
Japan 100% 2.00
France 100% 2.00
Sweden 100% 2.00
Ecuador 100% 2.00
Norway 100% 2.00
Mexico 100% 2.00
Scotland 0% 0.00
England 100% 2.00
Senegal 100% 2.00
USA 100% 2.00
Côte d'Ivoire 100% 2.00
Belgium 100% 2.00
Algeria 100% 2.00
Colombia 100% 2.00
Croatia 100% 2.00
Spain 100% 2.00
Austria 100% 2.00
Switzerland 100% 2.00
Iran 0% 0.00
Argentina 100% 2.00
Uruguay 0% 0.00
Portugal 100% 2.00
Ghana 100% 2.00
Türkiye 0% 0.00
Egypt 100% 2.00
Round of 163 pts 36
Germany 0% 0.00
France 100% 3.00
South Korea 0% 0.00
Netherlands 0% 0.00
Brazil 100% 3.00
Norway 100% 3.00
Mexico 100% 3.00
England 100% 3.00
Colombia 100% 3.00
Spain 100% 3.00
USA 100% 3.00
Belgium 100% 3.00
Argentina 100% 3.00
Türkiye 0% 0.00
Switzerland 100% 3.00
Portugal 100% 3.00
Quarter-final10 pts 40
Germany 0% 0.00
Netherlands 0% 0.00
Spain 100% 10.00
Belgium 100% 10.00
Brazil 0% 0.00
England 100% 10.00
Argentina 100% 10.00
Portugal 0% 0.00
Semi-final10 pts 20
Germany 0% 0.00
Spain 100% 10.00
Brazil 0% 0.00
Argentina 100% 10.00
Finalist15 pts 15
Spain 100% 15.00
Brazil 0% 0.00
3rd-place match10 pts 0
Germany 0% 0.00
Argentina 0% 0.00
Top scorerexpected 0 of 30 max
Oyarzabal 0.0% 0.00
Fingerprint pool percentile per axis
Accuracy 54 Scoring 37 Consistency 81 Stability 31 Draw-love 52 Risk 63 Contrarian 31 Aggression 35 Points per match how often each score lands
21% 0 20% 2 22% 5 2% 6 25% 7 2% 8 8% 10 points earned in a match → share of matches Scoring Points (official) 491
Per match 4.3
Median 5
Consistency (±) 3.12
Best / worst 10 / 0
Blank-match rate 41%
MOTD / regular ppm 4.25 / 4.3
Accuracy Outcome correct 59%
Exact score 8%
Home / away goals 30% / 30%
Draw precision 29%
Draw recall 14%
Robust-floor rate 24%
Style Crowd-follow 83%
Contrarian 17%
Goal aggression 2.42 goals/game
Draw bias 14%
Big-margin picks 15%
Scoreline variety 3.29 bits
Home bias +0.33
Standing Current rank #13
Mean rank 14.42
Best / worst #10 / #22
Stability 76
Net climb +5
Time in top 5 0%
Momentum -2.1
Prediction twin Raisa 71.2/100
Polar opposite Cri 47.4/100
Typicality 61.6 uniqueness 38.4
Coverage 100% 0 missed
Against the odds vs the pre-match favourite & a model of each game
Backs the favourite 80% 20% upsets · 33% land
Expected → actual pts 446.2 → 447 +0.8 vs pick-value
Results vs odds +3.5 61 right · 57.5 expected
Deserved standing #7 real #13 · -6 luck
Tournament bracket — expected points EV = points × probability, from simulations & pre-match odds
Group placement 160 of 240 max
Knockout 202 of 327 max
Top scorer 0 of 30 max
Grand EV 362 of 597 max
Bonus uncertainty 80% range 362–362 pts · σ 0 · one shared simulated tournament per trial
Group finishing positionsexpected 160 of 240 max
Group A10
1st Mexico 100% 5.00
2nd Czech Republic 0% 0.00
3rd South Korea 100% 5.00
4th South Africa 0% 0.00
Group B20
1st Switzerland 100% 5.00
2nd Canada 100% 5.00
3rd Bosnia & Herzegovina 100% 5.00
4th Qatar 100% 5.00
Group C20
1st Brazil 100% 5.00
2nd Morocco 100% 5.00
3rd Scotland 100% 5.00
4th Haiti 100% 5.00
Group D5
1st USA 100% 5.00
2nd Türkiye 0% 0.00
3rd Australia 0% 0.00
4th Paraguay 0% 0.00
Group E10
1st Germany 100% 5.00
2nd Ecuador 0% 0.00
3rd Côte d'Ivoire 0% 0.00
4th Curaçao 100% 5.00
Group F20
1st Netherlands 100% 5.00
2nd Japan 100% 5.00
3rd Sweden 100% 5.00
4th Tunisia 100% 5.00
Group G20
1st Belgium 100% 5.00
2nd Egypt 100% 5.00
3rd Iran 100% 5.00
4th New Zealand 100% 5.00
Group H5
1st Spain 100% 5.00
2nd Uruguay 0% 0.00
3rd Saudi Arabia 0% 0.00
4th Cape Verde 0% 0.00
Group I10
1st France 100% 5.00
2nd Senegal 0% 0.00
3rd Norway 0% 0.00
4th Iraq 100% 5.00
Group J20
1st Argentina 100% 5.00
2nd Austria 100% 5.00
3rd Algeria 100% 5.00
4th Jordan 100% 5.00
Group K0
1st Portugal 0% 0.00
2nd Colombia 0% 0.00
3rd Uzbekistan 0% 0.00
4th DR Congo 0% 0.00
Group L20
1st England 100% 5.00
2nd Croatia 100% 5.00
3rd Ghana 100% 5.00
4th Panama 100% 5.00
Knockout roundsexpected 202 of 327 max
Round of 322 pts 54
Mexico 100% 2.00
Czech Republic 0% 0.00
Switzerland 100% 2.00
Canada 100% 2.00
Brazil 100% 2.00
Morocco 100% 2.00
USA 100% 2.00
Türkiye 0% 0.00
Germany 100% 2.00
Ecuador 100% 2.00
Netherlands 100% 2.00
Japan 100% 2.00
Belgium 100% 2.00
Egypt 100% 2.00
Spain 100% 2.00
Uruguay 0% 0.00
France 100% 2.00
Senegal 100% 2.00
Argentina 100% 2.00
Austria 100% 2.00
Portugal 100% 2.00
Colombia 100% 2.00
England 100% 2.00
Croatia 100% 2.00
South Korea 0% 0.00
Scotland 0% 0.00
Australia 100% 2.00
Côte d'Ivoire 100% 2.00
Sweden 100% 2.00
Norway 100% 2.00
Algeria 100% 2.00
Ghana 100% 2.00
Round of 163 pts 33
Canada 100% 3.00
Germany 0% 0.00
Netherlands 0% 0.00
Brazil 100% 3.00
France 100% 3.00
Senegal 0% 0.00
Mexico 100% 3.00
England 100% 3.00
USA 100% 3.00
Belgium 100% 3.00
Croatia 0% 0.00
Spain 100% 3.00
Switzerland 100% 3.00
Argentina 100% 3.00
Portugal 100% 3.00
Türkiye 0% 0.00
Quarter-final10 pts 40
Germany 0% 0.00
Netherlands 0% 0.00
Brazil 0% 0.00
England 100% 10.00
Spain 100% 10.00
Belgium 100% 10.00
Argentina 100% 10.00
Portugal 0% 0.00
Semi-final10 pts 30
Germany 0% 0.00
Spain 100% 10.00
England 100% 10.00
Argentina 100% 10.00
Finalist15 pts 15
Spain 100% 15.00
England 0% 0.00
3rd-place match10 pts 0
Germany 0% 0.00
Argentina 0% 0.00
Top scorerexpected 0 of 30 max
Kane 0.0% 0.00
#14
Pikachu Iuliana Cautious Volatile Riding variance
Fingerprint pool percentile per axis
Accuracy 63 Scoring 50 Consistency 38 Stability 17 Draw-love 37 Risk 29 Contrarian 54 Aggression 25 Points per match how often each score lands
21% 0 20% 2 26% 5 1% 6 17% 7 3% 8 13% 10 points earned in a match → share of matches Scoring Points (official) 492
Per match 4.45
Median 5
Consistency (±) 3.29
Best / worst 10 / 0
Blank-match rate 41%
MOTD / regular ppm 4.25 / 4.46
Accuracy Outcome correct 59%
Exact score 13%
Home / away goals 33% / 31%
Draw precision 25%
Draw recall 11%
Robust-floor rate 18%
Style Crowd-follow 79%
Contrarian 21%
Goal aggression 2.34 goals/game
Draw bias 12%
Big-margin picks 11%
Scoreline variety 3.34 bits
Home bias +0.51
Standing Current rank #14
Mean rank 17.02
Best / worst #11 / #23
Stability 68
Net climb +5
Time in top 5 0%
Momentum -0.45
Prediction twin Cristi 68.4/100
Polar opposite Cri 46.4/100
Typicality 60.3 uniqueness 39.7
Coverage 97% 3 missed
Against the odds vs the pre-match favourite & a model of each game
Backs the favourite 77% 23% upsets · 30% land
Expected → actual pts 431.5 → 449 +17.5 vs pick-value
Results vs odds +4.6 60 right · 55.4 expected
Deserved standing #14 real #14 · +0 luck
Tournament bracket — expected points EV = points × probability, from simulations & pre-match odds
Group placement 140 of 240 max
Knockout 178 of 327 max
Top scorer 30 of 30 max
Grand EV 348 of 597 max
Bonus uncertainty 80% range 348–348 pts · σ 0 · one shared simulated tournament per trial
Group finishing positionsexpected 140 of 240 max
Group A10
1st Mexico 100% 5.00
2nd Czech Republic 0% 0.00
3rd South Korea 100% 5.00
4th South Africa 0% 0.00
Group B10
1st Switzerland 100% 5.00
2nd Bosnia & Herzegovina 0% 0.00
3rd Canada 0% 0.00
4th Qatar 100% 5.00
Group C10
1st Brazil 100% 5.00
2nd Scotland 0% 0.00
3rd Morocco 0% 0.00
4th Haiti 100% 5.00
Group D10
1st USA 100% 5.00
2nd Türkiye 0% 0.00
3rd Paraguay 100% 5.00
4th Australia 0% 0.00
Group E10
1st Germany 100% 5.00
2nd Ecuador 0% 0.00
3rd Côte d'Ivoire 0% 0.00
4th Curaçao 100% 5.00
Group F10
1st Netherlands 100% 5.00
2nd Sweden 0% 0.00
3rd Japan 0% 0.00
4th Tunisia 100% 5.00
Group G5
1st Belgium 100% 5.00
2nd New Zealand 0% 0.00
3rd Egypt 0% 0.00
4th Iran 0% 0.00
Group H5
1st Spain 100% 5.00
2nd Uruguay 0% 0.00
3rd Saudi Arabia 0% 0.00
4th Cape Verde 0% 0.00
Group I20
1st France 100% 5.00
2nd Norway 100% 5.00
3rd Senegal 100% 5.00
4th Iraq 100% 5.00
Group J20
1st Argentina 100% 5.00
2nd Austria 100% 5.00
3rd Algeria 100% 5.00
4th Jordan 100% 5.00
Group K10
1st Portugal 0% 0.00
2nd Colombia 0% 0.00
3rd DR Congo 100% 5.00
4th Uzbekistan 100% 5.00
Group L20
1st England 100% 5.00
2nd Croatia 100% 5.00
3rd Ghana 100% 5.00
4th Panama 100% 5.00
Knockout roundsexpected 178 of 327 max
Round of 322 pts 50
Czech Republic 0% 0.00
Bosnia & Herzegovina 100% 2.00
Germany 100% 2.00
Paraguay 100% 2.00
Netherlands 100% 2.00
Scotland 0% 0.00
Brazil 100% 2.00
Sweden 100% 2.00
France 100% 2.00
Japan 100% 2.00
Ecuador 100% 2.00
Norway 100% 2.00
Mexico 100% 2.00
Saudi Arabia 0% 0.00
England 100% 2.00
Senegal 100% 2.00
USA 100% 2.00
Canada 100% 2.00
Belgium 100% 2.00
South Korea 0% 0.00
Colombia 100% 2.00
Croatia 100% 2.00
Spain 100% 2.00
Austria 100% 2.00
Switzerland 100% 2.00
Egypt 100% 2.00
Argentina 100% 2.00
Uruguay 0% 0.00
Portugal 100% 2.00
Ghana 100% 2.00
Türkiye 0% 0.00
New Zealand 0% 0.00
Round of 163 pts 33
Czech Republic 0% 0.00
Germany 0% 0.00
Netherlands 0% 0.00
Brazil 100% 3.00
France 100% 3.00
Norway 100% 3.00
Mexico 100% 3.00
England 100% 3.00
USA 100% 3.00
Belgium 100% 3.00
Croatia 0% 0.00
Spain 100% 3.00
Switzerland 100% 3.00
Argentina 100% 3.00
Portugal 100% 3.00
Türkiye 0% 0.00
Quarter-final10 pts 50
France 100% 10.00
Netherlands 0% 0.00
Brazil 0% 0.00
England 100% 10.00
Spain 100% 10.00
Belgium 100% 10.00
Argentina 100% 10.00
Portugal 0% 0.00
Semi-final10 pts 30
France 100% 10.00
Spain 100% 10.00
Brazil 0% 0.00
Argentina 100% 10.00
Finalist15 pts 15
France 0% 0.00
Argentina 100% 15.00
Top scorerexpected 30 of 30 max
Mbappe 100.0% 30.00
#15
Arhentinaa Zagan Patchy entries Contrarian Volatile Riding variance Maverick
Fingerprint pool percentile per axis
Accuracy 40 Scoring 44 Consistency 71 Stability 12 Draw-love 63 Risk 17 Contrarian 79 Aggression 35 Points per match how often each score lands
18% 0 25% 2 20% 5 2% 6 24% 7 1% 8 10% 10 points earned in a match → share of matches Scoring Points (official) 456
Per match 4.38
Median 5
Consistency (±) 3.15
Best / worst 10 / 0
Blank-match rate 43%
MOTD / regular ppm 3.25 / 4.48
Accuracy Outcome correct 57%
Exact score 10%
Home / away goals 31% / 36%
Draw precision 41%
Draw recall 25%
Robust-floor rate 22%
Style Crowd-follow 73%
Contrarian 27%
Goal aggression 2.42 goals/game
Draw bias 17%
Big-margin picks 8%
Scoreline variety 3.26 bits
Home bias +0.48
Standing Current rank #15
Mean rank 16.43
Best / worst #10 / #24
Stability 67
Net climb +5
Time in top 5 0%
Momentum -3.98
Prediction twin Rocky Gratiano 65.9/100
Polar opposite Cri 40.6/100
Typicality 57.2 uniqueness 42.8
Coverage 96% 4 missed
Against the odds vs the pre-match favourite & a model of each game
Backs the favourite 71% 29% upsets · 34% land
Expected → actual pts 414.1 → 438 +23.9 vs pick-value
Results vs odds +4.7 57 right · 52.3 expected
Deserved standing #19 real #15 · +4 luck
Tournament bracket — expected points EV = points × probability, from simulations & pre-match odds
Group placement 135 of 240 max
Knockout 234 of 327 max
Top scorer 0 of 30 max
Grand EV 369 of 597 max
Bonus uncertainty 80% range 369–369 pts · σ 0 · one shared simulated tournament per trial
Group finishing positionsexpected 135 of 240 max
Group A0
1st Czech Republic 0% 0.00
2nd Mexico 0% 0.00
3rd South Africa 0% 0.00
4th South Korea 0% 0.00
Group B10
1st Switzerland 100% 5.00
2nd Bosnia & Herzegovina 0% 0.00
3rd Canada 0% 0.00
4th Qatar 100% 5.00
Group C20
1st Brazil 100% 5.00
2nd Morocco 100% 5.00
3rd Scotland 100% 5.00
4th Haiti 100% 5.00
Group D0
1st Türkiye 0% 0.00
2nd Paraguay 0% 0.00
3rd USA 0% 0.00
4th Australia 0% 0.00
Group E10
1st Germany 100% 5.00
2nd Ecuador 0% 0.00
3rd Côte d'Ivoire 0% 0.00
4th Curaçao 100% 5.00
Group F20
1st Netherlands 100% 5.00
2nd Japan 100% 5.00
3rd Sweden 100% 5.00
4th Tunisia 100% 5.00
Group G10
1st Belgium 100% 5.00
2nd Egypt 100% 5.00
3rd New Zealand 0% 0.00
4th Iran 0% 0.00
Group H5
1st Spain 100% 5.00
2nd Uruguay 0% 0.00
3rd Saudi Arabia 0% 0.00
4th Cape Verde 0% 0.00
Group I20
1st France 100% 5.00
2nd Norway 100% 5.00
3rd Senegal 100% 5.00
4th Iraq 100% 5.00
Group J20
1st Argentina 100% 5.00
2nd Austria 100% 5.00
3rd Algeria 100% 5.00
4th Jordan 100% 5.00
Group K0
1st Portugal 0% 0.00
2nd Colombia 0% 0.00
3rd Uzbekistan 0% 0.00
4th DR Congo 0% 0.00
Group L20
1st England 100% 5.00
2nd Croatia 100% 5.00
3rd Ghana 100% 5.00
4th Panama 100% 5.00
Knockout roundsexpected 234 of 327 max
Round of 322 pts 56
Mexico 100% 2.00
Bosnia & Herzegovina 100% 2.00
Germany 100% 2.00
USA 100% 2.00
Netherlands 100% 2.00
Morocco 100% 2.00
Brazil 100% 2.00
Japan 100% 2.00
France 100% 2.00
Sweden 100% 2.00
Ecuador 100% 2.00
Norway 100% 2.00
Czech Republic 0% 0.00
Scotland 0% 0.00
England 100% 2.00
Senegal 100% 2.00
Türkiye 0% 0.00
Canada 100% 2.00
Belgium 100% 2.00
South Africa 100% 2.00
Colombia 100% 2.00
Croatia 100% 2.00
Spain 100% 2.00
Austria 100% 2.00
Switzerland 100% 2.00
Côte d'Ivoire 100% 2.00
Argentina 100% 2.00
Uruguay 0% 0.00
Portugal 100% 2.00
Ghana 100% 2.00
Paraguay 100% 2.00
Egypt 100% 2.00
Round of 163 pts 33
Bosnia & Herzegovina 0% 0.00
Germany 0% 0.00
Netherlands 0% 0.00
Brazil 100% 3.00
France 100% 3.00
Norway 100% 3.00
Czech Republic 0% 0.00
England 100% 3.00
Türkiye 0% 0.00
Belgium 100% 3.00
Colombia 100% 3.00
Spain 100% 3.00
Switzerland 100% 3.00
Argentina 100% 3.00
Portugal 100% 3.00
Egypt 100% 3.00
Quarter-final10 pts 50
France 100% 10.00
Netherlands 0% 0.00
Brazil 0% 0.00
England 100% 10.00
Spain 100% 10.00
Belgium 100% 10.00
Argentina 100% 10.00
Portugal 0% 0.00
Semi-final10 pts 40
France 100% 10.00
Spain 100% 10.00
England 100% 10.00
Argentina 100% 10.00
Finalist15 pts 15
Spain 100% 15.00
England 0% 0.00
3rd-place match10 pts 10
France 100% 10.00
Argentina 0% 0.00
Top scorerexpected 0 of 30 max
Kane 0.0% 0.00
#16
Cristi Cristi Chalk-loyal Sharp reader Cautious Draw-shy Chalk merchant
Fingerprint pool percentile per axis
Accuracy 71 Scoring 50 Consistency 44 Stability 65 Draw-love 2 Risk 48 Contrarian 6 Aggression 10 Points per match how often each score lands
22% 0 18% 2 22% 5 2% 6 27% 7 1% 8 7% 10 2% 12 points earned in a match → share of matches Scoring Points (official) 492
Per match 4.45
Median 5
Consistency (±) 3.26
Best / worst 12 / 0
Blank-match rate 40%
MOTD / regular ppm 6 / 4.31
Accuracy Outcome correct 60%
Exact score 9%
Home / away goals 27% / 36%
Draw precision 50%
Draw recall 3%
Robust-floor rate 27%
Style Crowd-follow 93%
Contrarian 7%
Goal aggression 2.12 goals/game
Draw bias 2%
Big-margin picks 12%
Scoreline variety 3.14 bits
Home bias +0.42
Standing Current rank #16
Mean rank 15.79
Best / worst #7 / #24
Stability 80
Net climb -9
Time in top 5 0%
Momentum -2.65
Prediction twin Radu V 79.8/100
Polar opposite Cri 44/100
Typicality 63.8 uniqueness 36.2
Coverage 97% 3 missed
Against the odds vs the pre-match favourite & a model of each game
Backs the favourite 93% 7% upsets · 43% land
Expected → actual pts 451.2 → 449 -2.2 vs pick-value
Results vs odds +2.2 61 right · 58.8 expected
Deserved standing #4 real #16 · -12 luck
Tournament bracket — expected points EV = points × probability, from simulations & pre-match odds
Group placement 145 of 240 max
Knockout 175 of 327 max
Top scorer 0 of 30 max
Grand EV 320 of 597 max
Bonus uncertainty 80% range 320–320 pts · σ 0 · one shared simulated tournament per trial
Group finishing positionsexpected 145 of 240 max
Group A5
1st Mexico 100% 5.00
2nd South Korea 0% 0.00
3rd Czech Republic 0% 0.00
4th South Africa 0% 0.00
Group B20
1st Switzerland 100% 5.00
2nd Canada 100% 5.00
3rd Bosnia & Herzegovina 100% 5.00
4th Qatar 100% 5.00
Group C20
1st Brazil 100% 5.00
2nd Morocco 100% 5.00
3rd Scotland 100% 5.00
4th Haiti 100% 5.00
Group D5
1st Türkiye 0% 0.00
2nd USA 0% 0.00
3rd Paraguay 100% 5.00
4th Australia 0% 0.00
Group E10
1st Germany 100% 5.00
2nd Ecuador 0% 0.00
3rd Côte d'Ivoire 0% 0.00
4th Curaçao 100% 5.00
Group F10
1st Netherlands 100% 5.00
2nd Sweden 0% 0.00
3rd Japan 0% 0.00
4th Tunisia 100% 5.00
Group G5
1st Belgium 100% 5.00
2nd New Zealand 0% 0.00
3rd Egypt 0% 0.00
4th Iran 0% 0.00
Group H10
1st Spain 100% 5.00
2nd Uruguay 0% 0.00
3rd Cape Verde 0% 0.00
4th Saudi Arabia 100% 5.00
Group I20
1st France 100% 5.00
2nd Norway 100% 5.00
3rd Senegal 100% 5.00
4th Iraq 100% 5.00
Group J20
1st Argentina 100% 5.00
2nd Austria 100% 5.00
3rd Algeria 100% 5.00
4th Jordan 100% 5.00
Group K0
1st Portugal 0% 0.00
2nd Colombia 0% 0.00
3rd Uzbekistan 0% 0.00
4th DR Congo 0% 0.00
Group L20
1st England 100% 5.00
2nd Croatia 100% 5.00
3rd Ghana 100% 5.00
4th Panama 100% 5.00
Knockout roundsexpected 175 of 327 max
Round of 322 pts 52
South Korea 0% 0.00
Canada 100% 2.00
Germany 100% 2.00
Paraguay 100% 2.00
Netherlands 100% 2.00
Morocco 100% 2.00
Brazil 100% 2.00
Sweden 100% 2.00
France 100% 2.00
Japan 100% 2.00
Ecuador 100% 2.00
Norway 100% 2.00
Mexico 100% 2.00
Scotland 0% 0.00
England 100% 2.00
Algeria 100% 2.00
Türkiye 0% 0.00
Bosnia & Herzegovina 100% 2.00
Belgium 100% 2.00
Czech Republic 0% 0.00
Colombia 100% 2.00
Croatia 100% 2.00
Spain 100% 2.00
Austria 100% 2.00
Switzerland 100% 2.00
Egypt 100% 2.00
Argentina 100% 2.00
Uruguay 0% 0.00
Portugal 100% 2.00
Ghana 100% 2.00
USA 100% 2.00
New Zealand 0% 0.00
Round of 163 pts 33
Canada 100% 3.00
Germany 0% 0.00
Netherlands 0% 0.00
Brazil 100% 3.00
France 100% 3.00
Ecuador 0% 0.00
Mexico 100% 3.00
England 100% 3.00
Türkiye 0% 0.00
Belgium 100% 3.00
Croatia 0% 0.00
Spain 100% 3.00
Switzerland 100% 3.00
Argentina 100% 3.00
Portugal 100% 3.00
USA 100% 3.00
Quarter-final10 pts 50
France 100% 10.00
Netherlands 0% 0.00
Brazil 0% 0.00
England 100% 10.00
Spain 100% 10.00
Belgium 100% 10.00
Argentina 100% 10.00
Portugal 0% 0.00
Semi-final10 pts 40
France 100% 10.00
Spain 100% 10.00
England 100% 10.00
Argentina 100% 10.00
Finalist15 pts 0
France 0% 0.00
England 0% 0.00
3rd-place match10 pts 0
Spain 0% 0.00
Argentina 0% 0.00
Top scorerexpected 0 of 30 max
Yamal 0.0% 0.00
#17
Tay Tay Tay Tay Draw-shy Volatile Riding variance Maverick
Fingerprint pool percentile per axis
Accuracy 37 Scoring 56 Consistency 2 Stability 6 Draw-love 6 Risk 79 Contrarian 69 Aggression 50 Points per match how often each score lands
25% 0 19% 2 14% 5 2% 6 21% 7 2% 8 16% 10 points earned in a match → share of matches Scoring Points (official) 506
Per match 4.49
Median 5
Consistency (±) 3.58
Best / worst 10 / 0
Blank-match rate 44%
MOTD / regular ppm 4.25 / 4.51
Accuracy Outcome correct 56%
Exact score 16%
Home / away goals 36% / 36%
Draw precision 25%
Draw recall 7%
Robust-floor rate 21%
Style Crowd-follow 74%
Contrarian 26%
Goal aggression 2.56 goals/game
Draw bias 8%
Big-margin picks 22%
Scoreline variety 3.44 bits
Home bias +0.6
Standing Current rank #17
Mean rank 13.12
Best / worst #2 / #20
Stability 65
Net climb -6
Time in top 5 7%
Momentum -2.49
Prediction twin Rocky Gratiano 65.4/100
Polar opposite Cri 45.1/100
Typicality 56.9 uniqueness 43.1
Coverage 100% 0 missed
Against the odds vs the pre-match favourite & a model of each game
Backs the favourite 76% 24% upsets · 24% land
Expected → actual pts 429 → 467 +38 vs pick-value
Results vs odds +2.5 58 right · 55.5 expected
Deserved standing #16 real #17 · -1 luck
Tournament bracket — expected points EV = points × probability, from simulations & pre-match odds
Group placement 150 of 240 max
Knockout 147 of 327 max
Top scorer 0 of 30 max
Grand EV 297 of 597 max
Bonus uncertainty 80% range 297–297 pts · σ 0 · one shared simulated tournament per trial
Group finishing positionsexpected 150 of 240 max
Group A5
1st Mexico 100% 5.00
2nd South Korea 0% 0.00
3rd Czech Republic 0% 0.00
4th South Africa 0% 0.00
Group B20
1st Switzerland 100% 5.00
2nd Canada 100% 5.00
3rd Bosnia & Herzegovina 100% 5.00
4th Qatar 100% 5.00
Group C20
1st Brazil 100% 5.00
2nd Morocco 100% 5.00
3rd Scotland 100% 5.00
4th Haiti 100% 5.00
Group D5
1st Türkiye 0% 0.00
2nd USA 0% 0.00
3rd Paraguay 100% 5.00
4th Australia 0% 0.00
Group E20
1st Germany 100% 5.00
2nd Côte d'Ivoire 100% 5.00
3rd Ecuador 100% 5.00
4th Curaçao 100% 5.00
Group F20
1st Netherlands 100% 5.00
2nd Japan 100% 5.00
3rd Sweden 100% 5.00
4th Tunisia 100% 5.00
Group G20
1st Belgium 100% 5.00
2nd Egypt 100% 5.00
3rd Iran 100% 5.00
4th New Zealand 100% 5.00
Group H0
1st Uruguay 0% 0.00
2nd Spain 0% 0.00
3rd Saudi Arabia 0% 0.00
4th Cape Verde 0% 0.00
Group I10
1st Norway 0% 0.00
2nd France 0% 0.00
3rd Senegal 100% 5.00
4th Iraq 100% 5.00
Group J10
1st Argentina 100% 5.00
2nd Algeria 0% 0.00
3rd Austria 0% 0.00
4th Jordan 100% 5.00
Group K10
1st Portugal 0% 0.00
2nd Colombia 0% 0.00
3rd DR Congo 100% 5.00
4th Uzbekistan 100% 5.00
Group L10
1st England 100% 5.00
2nd Ghana 0% 0.00
3rd Croatia 0% 0.00
4th Panama 100% 5.00
Knockout roundsexpected 147 of 327 max
Round of 322 pts 56
Mexico 100% 2.00
South Korea 0% 0.00
Switzerland 100% 2.00
Canada 100% 2.00
Brazil 100% 2.00
Morocco 100% 2.00
Türkiye 0% 0.00
USA 100% 2.00
Germany 100% 2.00
Côte d'Ivoire 100% 2.00
Netherlands 100% 2.00
Japan 100% 2.00
Belgium 100% 2.00
Egypt 100% 2.00
Uruguay 0% 0.00
Spain 100% 2.00
Norway 100% 2.00
France 100% 2.00
Argentina 100% 2.00
Algeria 100% 2.00
Portugal 100% 2.00
Colombia 100% 2.00
England 100% 2.00
Ghana 100% 2.00
Czech Republic 0% 0.00
Bosnia & Herzegovina 100% 2.00
Paraguay 100% 2.00
Ecuador 100% 2.00
Sweden 100% 2.00
Senegal 100% 2.00
Austria 100% 2.00
Croatia 100% 2.00
Round of 163 pts 36
Canada 100% 3.00
Germany 0% 0.00
Netherlands 0% 0.00
Brazil 100% 3.00
Norway 100% 3.00
France 100% 3.00
Mexico 100% 3.00
England 100% 3.00
Türkiye 0% 0.00
Belgium 100% 3.00
Colombia 100% 3.00
Uruguay 0% 0.00
Switzerland 100% 3.00
Spain 100% 3.00
Portugal 100% 3.00
USA 100% 3.00
Quarter-final10 pts 30
Norway 100% 10.00
Netherlands 0% 0.00
Brazil 0% 0.00
Mexico 0% 0.00
Uruguay 0% 0.00
Belgium 100% 10.00
Spain 100% 10.00
Portugal 0% 0.00
Semi-final10 pts 10
Netherlands 0% 0.00
Uruguay 0% 0.00
Brazil 0% 0.00
Spain 100% 10.00
Finalist15 pts 15
Netherlands 0% 0.00
Spain 100% 15.00
3rd-place match10 pts 0
Uruguay 0% 0.00
Brazil 0% 0.00
Top scorerexpected 0 of 30 max
Haaland 0.0% 0.00
#18
Labuta Razvan Patchy entries Contrarian Low scorer Steady Riding variance Maverick
Fingerprint pool percentile per axis
Accuracy 6 Scoring 25 Consistency 17 Stability 94 Draw-love 25 Risk 52 Contrarian 75 Aggression 40 Points per match how often each score lands
21% 0 29% 2 20% 5 16% 7 14% 10 points earned in a match → share of matches Scoring Points (official) 251
Per match 4.11
Median 3.5
Consistency (±) 3.37
Best / worst 10 / 0
Blank-match rate 50%
MOTD / regular ppm – / 4.11
Accuracy Outcome correct 50%
Exact score 14%
Home / away goals 36% / 38%
Draw precision 17%
Draw recall 7%
Robust-floor rate 16%
Style Crowd-follow 73%
Contrarian 27%
Goal aggression 2.52 goals/game
Draw bias 11%
Big-margin picks 12%
Scoreline variety 3.58 bits
Home bias +0.12
Standing Current rank #18
Mean rank 22.89
Best / worst #16 / #26
Stability 95
Net climb +6
Time in top 5 0%
Momentum -3.71
Prediction twin Pikachu 64.5/100
Polar opposite Tricolorii 0/100
Typicality 53.5 uniqueness 46.5
Coverage 54% 48 missed
Against the odds vs the pre-match favourite & a model of each game
Backs the favourite 77% 23% upsets · 8% land
Expected → actual pts 207.2 → 230 +22.8 vs pick-value
Results vs odds +0.9 28 right · 27.1 expected
Deserved standing #25 real #18 · +7 luck
#19
gnita Gabriel Nita Goal-happy
Fingerprint pool percentile per axis
Accuracy 31 Scoring 29 Consistency 27 Stability 38 Draw-love 21 Risk 60 Contrarian 31 Aggression 79 Points per match how often each score lands
23% 0 22% 2 22% 5 1% 6 17% 7 3% 8 11% 10 1% 12 points earned in a match → share of matches Scoring Points (official) 487
Per match 4.22
Median 5
Consistency (±) 3.35
Best / worst 12 / 0
Blank-match rate 45%
MOTD / regular ppm 6 / 4.07
Accuracy Outcome correct 55%
Exact score 12%
Home / away goals 36% / 30%
Draw precision 9%
Draw recall 3%
Robust-floor rate 20%
Style Crowd-follow 83%
Contrarian 17%
Goal aggression 2.87 goals/game
Draw bias 11%
Big-margin picks 14%
Scoreline variety 3.3 bits
Home bias +0.38
Standing Current rank #19
Mean rank 13.76
Best / worst #1 / #19
Stability 77
Net climb -18
Time in top 5 14%
Momentum -3.42
Prediction twin Dali002 73.4/100
Polar opposite Cri 43.5/100
Typicality 61 uniqueness 39
Coverage 100% 0 missed
Against the odds vs the pre-match favourite & a model of each game
Backs the favourite 82% 18% upsets · 16% land
Expected → actual pts 435.9 → 439 +3.1 vs pick-value
Results vs odds -0.4 57 right · 57.4 expected
Deserved standing #12 real #19 · -7 luck
Tournament bracket — expected points EV = points × probability, from simulations & pre-match odds
Group placement 140 of 240 max
Knockout 152 of 327 max
Top scorer 0 of 30 max
Grand EV 292 of 597 max
Bonus uncertainty 80% range 292–292 pts · σ 0 · one shared simulated tournament per trial
Group finishing positionsexpected 140 of 240 max
Group A0
1st South Korea 0% 0.00
2nd Czech Republic 0% 0.00
3rd Mexico 0% 0.00
4th South Africa 0% 0.00
Group B10
1st Switzerland 100% 5.00
2nd Bosnia & Herzegovina 0% 0.00
3rd Canada 0% 0.00
4th Qatar 100% 5.00
Group C10
1st Brazil 100% 5.00
2nd Scotland 0% 0.00
3rd Morocco 0% 0.00
4th Haiti 100% 5.00
Group D5
1st Türkiye 0% 0.00
2nd USA 0% 0.00
3rd Paraguay 100% 5.00
4th Australia 0% 0.00
Group E10
1st Germany 100% 5.00
2nd Ecuador 0% 0.00
3rd Côte d'Ivoire 0% 0.00
4th Curaçao 100% 5.00
Group F20
1st Netherlands 100% 5.00
2nd Japan 100% 5.00
3rd Sweden 100% 5.00
4th Tunisia 100% 5.00
Group G20
1st Belgium 100% 5.00
2nd Egypt 100% 5.00
3rd Iran 100% 5.00
4th New Zealand 100% 5.00
Group H5
1st Spain 100% 5.00
2nd Uruguay 0% 0.00
3rd Saudi Arabia 0% 0.00
4th Cape Verde 0% 0.00
Group I20
1st France 100% 5.00
2nd Norway 100% 5.00
3rd Senegal 100% 5.00
4th Iraq 100% 5.00
Group J20
1st Argentina 100% 5.00
2nd Austria 100% 5.00
3rd Algeria 100% 5.00
4th Jordan 100% 5.00
Group K10
1st Portugal 0% 0.00
2nd Colombia 0% 0.00
3rd DR Congo 100% 5.00
4th Uzbekistan 100% 5.00
Group L10
1st England 100% 5.00
2nd Croatia 100% 5.00
3rd Panama 0% 0.00
4th Ghana 0% 0.00
Knockout roundsexpected 152 of 327 max
Round of 322 pts 52
Czech Republic 0% 0.00
Bosnia & Herzegovina 100% 2.00
Germany 100% 2.00
Paraguay 100% 2.00
Netherlands 100% 2.00
Scotland 0% 0.00
Brazil 100% 2.00
Japan 100% 2.00
France 100% 2.00
Sweden 100% 2.00
Ecuador 100% 2.00
Norway 100% 2.00
South Korea 0% 0.00
Morocco 100% 2.00
England 100% 2.00
Algeria 100% 2.00
Türkiye 0% 0.00
Canada 100% 2.00
Belgium 100% 2.00
Mexico 100% 2.00
Colombia 100% 2.00
Croatia 100% 2.00
Spain 100% 2.00
Austria 100% 2.00
Switzerland 100% 2.00
Iran 0% 0.00
Argentina 100% 2.00
Uruguay 0% 0.00
Portugal 100% 2.00
Senegal 100% 2.00
USA 100% 2.00
Egypt 100% 2.00
Round of 163 pts 30
Czech Republic 0% 0.00
Germany 0% 0.00
Netherlands 0% 0.00
Brazil 100% 3.00
France 100% 3.00
Norway 100% 3.00
South Korea 0% 0.00
England 100% 3.00
Türkiye 0% 0.00
Belgium 100% 3.00
Croatia 0% 0.00
Spain 100% 3.00
Switzerland 100% 3.00
Argentina 100% 3.00
Portugal 100% 3.00
Egypt 100% 3.00
Quarter-final10 pts 50
France 100% 10.00
Netherlands 0% 0.00
Brazil 0% 0.00
England 100% 10.00
Spain 100% 10.00
Belgium 100% 10.00
Argentina 100% 10.00
Portugal 0% 0.00
Semi-final10 pts 20
France 100% 10.00
Spain 100% 10.00
Brazil 0% 0.00
Portugal 0% 0.00
Finalist15 pts 0
France 0% 0.00
Portugal 0% 0.00
Top scorerexpected 0 of 30 max
Olise 0.0% 0.00
#20
Inoasca Lavinia Contrarian Goal-happy Volatile Upset hunter Riding variance Maverick
Fingerprint pool percentile per axis
Accuracy 31 Scoring 33 Consistency 63 Stability 2 Draw-love 67 Risk 23 Contrarian 87 Aggression 75 Points per match how often each score lands
19% 0 26% 2 19% 5 24% 7 2% 8 10% 10 points earned in a match → share of matches Scoring Points (official) 478
Per match 4.28
Median 5
Consistency (±) 3.19
Best / worst 10 / 0
Blank-match rate 45%
MOTD / regular ppm 2.75 / 4.41
Accuracy Outcome correct 55%
Exact score 10%
Home / away goals 25% / 41%
Draw precision 32%
Draw recall 21%
Robust-floor rate 21%
Style Crowd-follow 70%
Contrarian 30%
Goal aggression 2.84 goals/game
Draw bias 18%
Big-margin picks 10%
Scoreline variety 3.22 bits
Home bias +0.51
Standing Current rank #20
Mean rank 16.63
Best / worst #7 / #22
Stability 64
Net climb -5
Time in top 5 0%
Momentum -2.48
Prediction twin ri2c 66.7/100
Polar opposite Cri 42.1/100
Typicality 54.9 uniqueness 45.1
Coverage 100% 0 missed
Against the odds vs the pre-match favourite & a model of each game
Backs the favourite 67% 33% upsets · 29% land
Expected → actual pts 413.9 → 445 +31.1 vs pick-value
Results vs odds +4 57 right · 53 expected
Deserved standing #20 real #20 · +0 luck
Tournament bracket — expected points EV = points × probability, from simulations & pre-match odds
Group placement 100 of 240 max
Knockout 167 of 327 max
Top scorer 0 of 30 max
Grand EV 267 of 597 max
Bonus uncertainty 80% range 267–267 pts · σ 0 · one shared simulated tournament per trial
Group finishing positionsexpected 100 of 240 max
Group A5
1st Mexico 100% 5.00
2nd Czech Republic 0% 0.00
3rd South Africa 0% 0.00
4th South Korea 0% 0.00
Group B5
1st Bosnia & Herzegovina 0% 0.00
2nd Switzerland 0% 0.00
3rd Canada 0% 0.00
4th Qatar 100% 5.00
Group C20
1st Brazil 100% 5.00
2nd Morocco 100% 5.00
3rd Scotland 100% 5.00
4th Haiti 100% 5.00
Group D0
1st Paraguay 0% 0.00
2nd Türkiye 0% 0.00
3rd USA 0% 0.00
4th Australia 0% 0.00
Group E10
1st Germany 100% 5.00
2nd Ecuador 0% 0.00
3rd Côte d'Ivoire 0% 0.00
4th Curaçao 100% 5.00
Group F10
1st Netherlands 100% 5.00
2nd Sweden 0% 0.00
3rd Japan 0% 0.00
4th Tunisia 100% 5.00
Group G5
1st Belgium 100% 5.00
2nd New Zealand 0% 0.00
3rd Egypt 0% 0.00
4th Iran 0% 0.00
Group H5
1st Spain 100% 5.00
2nd Uruguay 0% 0.00
3rd Saudi Arabia 0% 0.00
4th Cape Verde 0% 0.00
Group I10
1st France 100% 5.00
2nd Senegal 0% 0.00
3rd Norway 0% 0.00
4th Iraq 100% 5.00
Group J10
1st Argentina 100% 5.00
2nd Algeria 0% 0.00
3rd Austria 0% 0.00
4th Jordan 100% 5.00
Group K10
1st Portugal 0% 0.00
2nd Colombia 0% 0.00
3rd DR Congo 100% 5.00
4th Uzbekistan 100% 5.00
Group L10
1st England 100% 5.00
2nd Croatia 100% 5.00
3rd Panama 0% 0.00
4th Ghana 0% 0.00
Knockout roundsexpected 167 of 327 max
Round of 322 pts 52
Mexico 100% 2.00
Czech Republic 0% 0.00
Bosnia & Herzegovina 100% 2.00
Switzerland 100% 2.00
Brazil 100% 2.00
Morocco 100% 2.00
Paraguay 100% 2.00
Türkiye 0% 0.00
Germany 100% 2.00
Ecuador 100% 2.00
Netherlands 100% 2.00
Sweden 100% 2.00
Belgium 100% 2.00
New Zealand 0% 0.00
Spain 100% 2.00
Uruguay 0% 0.00
France 100% 2.00
Senegal 100% 2.00
Argentina 100% 2.00
Algeria 100% 2.00
Portugal 100% 2.00
Colombia 100% 2.00
England 100% 2.00
Croatia 100% 2.00
South Africa 100% 2.00
Canada 100% 2.00
USA 100% 2.00
Japan 100% 2.00
Saudi Arabia 0% 0.00
Norway 100% 2.00
Austria 100% 2.00
Panama 0% 0.00
Round of 163 pts 30
Czech Republic 0% 0.00
Germany 0% 0.00
Netherlands 0% 0.00
Brazil 100% 3.00
France 100% 3.00
Ecuador 0% 0.00
Mexico 100% 3.00
England 100% 3.00
Paraguay 100% 3.00
Belgium 100% 3.00
Colombia 100% 3.00
Spain 100% 3.00
Bosnia & Herzegovina 0% 0.00
Argentina 100% 3.00
Portugal 100% 3.00
Türkiye 0% 0.00
Quarter-final10 pts 30
Germany 0% 0.00
Netherlands 0% 0.00
Brazil 0% 0.00
Mexico 0% 0.00
Spain 100% 10.00
Belgium 100% 10.00
Argentina 100% 10.00
Portugal 0% 0.00
Semi-final10 pts 10
Germany 0% 0.00
Spain 100% 10.00
Brazil 0% 0.00
Portugal 0% 0.00
Finalist15 pts 15
Spain 100% 15.00
Brazil 0% 0.00
3rd-place match10 pts 0
Germany 0% 0.00
Portugal 0% 0.00
Top scorerexpected 0 of 30 max
Yamal 0.0% 0.00
#21
HoratiuT Horatiu Contrarian Low scorer Cautious Draw-prone Upset hunter Maverick
Fingerprint pool percentile per axis
Accuracy 19 Scoring 21 Consistency 56 Stability 31 Draw-love 94 Risk 13 Contrarian 90 Aggression 17 Points per match how often each score lands
22% 0 27% 2 17% 5 1% 6 23% 7 2% 8 9% 10 points earned in a match → share of matches Scoring Points (official) 446
Per match 4.08
Median 5
Consistency (±) 3.21
Best / worst 10 / 0
Blank-match rate 48%
MOTD / regular ppm 3.75 / 4.11
Accuracy Outcome correct 52%
Exact score 9%
Home / away goals 28% / 37%
Draw precision 25%
Draw recall 26%
Robust-floor rate 20%
Style Crowd-follow 68%
Contrarian 32%
Goal aggression 2.22 goals/game
Draw bias 28%
Big-margin picks 7%
Scoreline variety 3.36 bits
Home bias +0.3
Standing Current rank #21
Mean rank 18.49
Best / worst #13 / #23
Stability 76
Net climb -4
Time in top 5 0%
Momentum -3.28
Prediction twin Arhentinaa 61.7/100
Polar opposite vladivostok 45.3/100
Typicality 55.6 uniqueness 44.4
Coverage 97% 3 missed
Against the odds vs the pre-match favourite & a model of each game
Backs the favourite 65% 35% upsets · 26% land
Expected → actual pts 411.5 → 412 +0.5 vs pick-value
Results vs odds +1.2 52 right · 50.8 expected
Deserved standing #21 real #21 · +0 luck
Tournament bracket — expected points EV = points × probability, from simulations & pre-match odds
Group placement 140 of 240 max
Knockout 145 of 327 max
Top scorer 0 of 30 max
Grand EV 285 of 597 max
Bonus uncertainty 80% range 285–285 pts · σ 0 · one shared simulated tournament per trial
Group finishing positionsexpected 140 of 240 max
Group A10
1st Mexico 100% 5.00
2nd South Korea 0% 0.00
3rd South Africa 0% 0.00
4th Czech Republic 100% 5.00
Group B10
1st Canada 0% 0.00
2nd Switzerland 0% 0.00
3rd Bosnia & Herzegovina 100% 5.00
4th Qatar 100% 5.00
Group C20
1st Brazil 100% 5.00
2nd Morocco 100% 5.00
3rd Scotland 100% 5.00
4th Haiti 100% 5.00
Group D10
1st USA 100% 5.00
2nd Türkiye 0% 0.00
3rd Paraguay 100% 5.00
4th Australia 0% 0.00
Group E10
1st Germany 100% 5.00
2nd Ecuador 0% 0.00
3rd Côte d'Ivoire 0% 0.00
4th Curaçao 100% 5.00
Group F10
1st Netherlands 100% 5.00
2nd Sweden 0% 0.00
3rd Japan 0% 0.00
4th Tunisia 100% 5.00
Group G10
1st Belgium 100% 5.00
2nd Egypt 100% 5.00
3rd New Zealand 0% 0.00
4th Iran 0% 0.00
Group H10
1st Spain 100% 5.00
2nd Uruguay 0% 0.00
3rd Cape Verde 0% 0.00
4th Saudi Arabia 100% 5.00
Group I10
1st France 100% 5.00
2nd Senegal 0% 0.00
3rd Norway 0% 0.00
4th Iraq 100% 5.00
Group J20
1st Argentina 100% 5.00
2nd Austria 100% 5.00
3rd Algeria 100% 5.00
4th Jordan 100% 5.00
Group K0
1st Portugal 0% 0.00
2nd Colombia 0% 0.00
3rd Uzbekistan 0% 0.00
4th DR Congo 0% 0.00
Group L20
1st England 100% 5.00
2nd Croatia 100% 5.00
3rd Ghana 100% 5.00
4th Panama 100% 5.00
Knockout roundsexpected 145 of 327 max
Round of 322 pts 56
Mexico 100% 2.00
South Korea 0% 0.00
Canada 100% 2.00
Switzerland 100% 2.00
Brazil 100% 2.00
Morocco 100% 2.00
USA 100% 2.00
Türkiye 0% 0.00
Germany 100% 2.00
Ecuador 100% 2.00
Netherlands 100% 2.00
Sweden 100% 2.00
Belgium 100% 2.00
Egypt 100% 2.00
Spain 100% 2.00
Uruguay 0% 0.00
France 100% 2.00
Senegal 100% 2.00
Argentina 100% 2.00
Austria 100% 2.00
Portugal 100% 2.00
Colombia 100% 2.00
England 100% 2.00
Croatia 100% 2.00
South Africa 100% 2.00
Bosnia & Herzegovina 100% 2.00
Scotland 0% 0.00
Paraguay 100% 2.00
Japan 100% 2.00
Norway 100% 2.00
Algeria 100% 2.00
Ghana 100% 2.00
Round of 163 pts 39
Switzerland 100% 3.00
Germany 0% 0.00
Netherlands 0% 0.00
Brazil 100% 3.00
France 100% 3.00
Ecuador 0% 0.00
Mexico 100% 3.00
England 100% 3.00
USA 100% 3.00
Belgium 100% 3.00
Colombia 100% 3.00
Spain 100% 3.00
Canada 100% 3.00
Argentina 100% 3.00
Portugal 100% 3.00
Egypt 100% 3.00
Quarter-final10 pts 30
Germany 0% 0.00
Netherlands 0% 0.00
Brazil 0% 0.00
England 100% 10.00
Spain 100% 10.00
USA 0% 0.00
Argentina 100% 10.00
Canada 0% 0.00
Semi-final10 pts 20
Germany 0% 0.00
Spain 100% 10.00
Brazil 0% 0.00
Argentina 100% 10.00
Finalist15 pts 0
Germany 0% 0.00
Brazil 0% 0.00
3rd-place match10 pts 0
Spain 0% 0.00
Argentina 0% 0.00
Top scorerexpected 0 of 30 max
Yamal 0.0% 0.00
#22
loaded fries dey Low scorer Goal-happy Steady Big-margin gambler Due a bounce Maverick
Fingerprint pool percentile per axis
Accuracy 19 Scoring 6 Consistency 90 Stability 90 Draw-love 29 Risk 87 Contrarian 60 Aggression 83 Points per match how often each score lands
25% 0 24% 2 19% 5 2% 6 26% 7 1% 8 4% 10 points earned in a match → share of matches Scoring Points (official) 421
Per match 3.81
Median 5
Consistency (±) 3.01
Best / worst 10 / 0
Blank-match rate 48%
MOTD / regular ppm 3.25 / 3.86
Accuracy Outcome correct 52%
Exact score 4%
Home / away goals 24% / 34%
Draw precision 9%
Draw recall 3%
Robust-floor rate 26%
Style Crowd-follow 75%
Contrarian 25%
Goal aggression 2.88 goals/game
Draw bias 11%
Big-margin picks 24%
Scoreline variety 3.83 bits
Home bias +0.29
Standing Current rank #22
Mean rank 23.12
Best / worst #19 / #24
Stability 94
Net climb -1
Time in top 5 0%
Momentum +1.79
Prediction twin vladivostok 68.4/100
Polar opposite Cri 39.4/100
Typicality 55.7 uniqueness 44.3
Coverage 97% 3 missed
Against the odds vs the pre-match favourite & a model of each game
Backs the favourite 73% 27% upsets · 15% land
Expected → actual pts 416.6 → 385 -31.6 vs pick-value
Results vs odds -2.9 52 right · 54.9 expected
Deserved standing #18 real #22 · -4 luck
Tournament bracket — expected points EV = points × probability, from simulations & pre-match odds
Group placement 100 of 240 max
Knockout 199 of 327 max
Top scorer 0 of 30 max
Grand EV 299 of 597 max
Bonus uncertainty 80% range 299–299 pts · σ 0 · one shared simulated tournament per trial
Group finishing positionsexpected 100 of 240 max
Group A10
1st Mexico 100% 5.00
2nd South Africa 100% 5.00
3rd Czech Republic 0% 0.00
4th South Korea 0% 0.00
Group B0
1st Canada 0% 0.00
2nd Switzerland 0% 0.00
3rd Qatar 0% 0.00
4th Bosnia & Herzegovina 0% 0.00
Group C5
1st Brazil 100% 5.00
2nd Scotland 0% 0.00
3rd Haiti 0% 0.00
4th Morocco 0% 0.00
Group D0
1st Türkiye 0% 0.00
2nd Paraguay 0% 0.00
3rd Australia 0% 0.00
4th USA 0% 0.00
Group E10
1st Germany 100% 5.00
2nd Ecuador 0% 0.00
3rd Côte d'Ivoire 0% 0.00
4th Curaçao 100% 5.00
Group F10
1st Netherlands 100% 5.00
2nd Sweden 0% 0.00
3rd Japan 0% 0.00
4th Tunisia 100% 5.00
Group G10
1st Belgium 100% 5.00
2nd Egypt 100% 5.00
3rd New Zealand 0% 0.00
4th Iran 0% 0.00
Group H5
1st Spain 100% 5.00
2nd Uruguay 0% 0.00
3rd Saudi Arabia 0% 0.00
4th Cape Verde 0% 0.00
Group I10
1st France 100% 5.00
2nd Senegal 0% 0.00
3rd Norway 0% 0.00
4th Iraq 100% 5.00
Group J20
1st Argentina 100% 5.00
2nd Austria 100% 5.00
3rd Algeria 100% 5.00
4th Jordan 100% 5.00
Group K10
1st Portugal 0% 0.00
2nd Colombia 0% 0.00
3rd DR Congo 100% 5.00
4th Uzbekistan 100% 5.00
Group L10
1st England 100% 5.00
2nd Croatia 100% 5.00
3rd Panama 0% 0.00
4th Ghana 0% 0.00
Knockout roundsexpected 199 of 327 max
Round of 322 pts 52
South Africa 100% 2.00
Switzerland 100% 2.00
Germany 100% 2.00
Australia 100% 2.00
Netherlands 100% 2.00
Scotland 0% 0.00
Brazil 100% 2.00
Sweden 100% 2.00
France 100% 2.00
Japan 100% 2.00
Ecuador 100% 2.00
Senegal 100% 2.00
Mexico 100% 2.00
Saudi Arabia 0% 0.00
England 100% 2.00
Norway 100% 2.00
Türkiye 0% 0.00
Côte d'Ivoire 100% 2.00
Belgium 100% 2.00
Czech Republic 0% 0.00
Colombia 100% 2.00
Croatia 100% 2.00
Spain 100% 2.00
Austria 100% 2.00
Canada 100% 2.00
Algeria 100% 2.00
Argentina 100% 2.00
Uruguay 0% 0.00
Portugal 100% 2.00
Panama 0% 0.00
Paraguay 100% 2.00
Egypt 100% 2.00
Round of 163 pts 27
South Africa 0% 0.00
Germany 0% 0.00
Netherlands 0% 0.00
Brazil 100% 3.00
France 100% 3.00
Senegal 0% 0.00
Mexico 100% 3.00
England 100% 3.00
Türkiye 0% 0.00
Belgium 100% 3.00
Croatia 0% 0.00
Spain 100% 3.00
Algeria 0% 0.00
Argentina 100% 3.00
Portugal 100% 3.00
Egypt 100% 3.00
Quarter-final10 pts 40
Germany 0% 0.00
Netherlands 0% 0.00
Brazil 0% 0.00
England 100% 10.00
Spain 100% 10.00
Belgium 100% 10.00
Argentina 100% 10.00
Portugal 0% 0.00
Semi-final10 pts 20
Germany 0% 0.00
Spain 100% 10.00
Brazil 0% 0.00
Argentina 100% 10.00
Finalist15 pts 30
Spain 100% 15.00
Argentina 100% 15.00
3rd-place match10 pts 0
Germany 0% 0.00
Brazil 0% 0.00
Top scorerexpected 0 of 30 max
Yamal 0.0% 0.00
#23
Alexandrai Alexandra Patchy entries Contrarian Low scorer Cautious Steady Upset hunter
Fingerprint pool percentile per axis
Accuracy 25 Scoring 10 Consistency 21 Stability 87 Draw-love 71 Risk 6 Contrarian 94 Aggression 21 Points per match how often each score lands
30% 0 18% 2 18% 5 1% 6 24% 7 7% 10 1% 12 points earned in a match → share of matches Scoring Points (official) 400
Per match 3.87
Median 5
Consistency (±) 3.36
Best / worst 12 / 0
Blank-match rate 48%
MOTD / regular ppm 2.75 / 3.98
Accuracy Outcome correct 52%
Exact score 8%
Home / away goals 20% / 35%
Draw precision 39%
Draw recall 26%
Robust-floor rate 20%
Style Crowd-follow 66%
Contrarian 34%
Goal aggression 2.28 goals/game
Draw bias 19%
Big-margin picks 3%
Scoreline variety 3.23 bits
Home bias +0.45
Standing Current rank #23
Mean rank 20.75
Best / worst #4 / #23
Stability 87
Net climb -13
Time in top 5 3%
Momentum -1.87
Prediction twin Gullit26 59.5/100
Polar opposite Tricolorii 45.6/100
Typicality 53 uniqueness 47
Coverage 91% 9 missed
Against the odds vs the pre-match favourite & a model of each game
Backs the favourite 66% 34% upsets · 25% land
Expected → actual pts 374.6 → 368 -6.6 vs pick-value
Results vs odds +2.5 49 right · 46.5 expected
Deserved standing #22 real #23 · -1 luck
Tournament bracket — expected points EV = points × probability, from simulations & pre-match odds
Group placement 170 of 240 max
Knockout 147 of 327 max
Top scorer 0 of 30 max
Grand EV 317 of 597 max
Bonus uncertainty 80% range 317–317 pts · σ 0 · one shared simulated tournament per trial
Group finishing positionsexpected 170 of 240 max
Group A5
1st Mexico 100% 5.00
2nd South Korea 0% 0.00
3rd Czech Republic 0% 0.00
4th South Africa 0% 0.00
Group B20
1st Switzerland 100% 5.00
2nd Canada 100% 5.00
3rd Bosnia & Herzegovina 100% 5.00
4th Qatar 100% 5.00
Group C20
1st Brazil 100% 5.00
2nd Morocco 100% 5.00
3rd Scotland 100% 5.00
4th Haiti 100% 5.00
Group D5
1st Türkiye 0% 0.00
2nd USA 0% 0.00
3rd Paraguay 100% 5.00
4th Australia 0% 0.00
Group E10
1st Germany 100% 5.00
2nd Ecuador 0% 0.00
3rd Côte d'Ivoire 0% 0.00
4th Curaçao 100% 5.00
Group F10
1st Netherlands 100% 5.00
2nd Japan 100% 5.00
3rd Tunisia 0% 0.00
4th Sweden 0% 0.00
Group G20
1st Belgium 100% 5.00
2nd Egypt 100% 5.00
3rd Iran 100% 5.00
4th New Zealand 100% 5.00
Group H10
1st Spain 100% 5.00
2nd Uruguay 0% 0.00
3rd Cape Verde 0% 0.00
4th Saudi Arabia 100% 5.00
Group I20
1st France 100% 5.00
2nd Norway 100% 5.00
3rd Senegal 100% 5.00
4th Iraq 100% 5.00
Group J20
1st Argentina 100% 5.00
2nd Austria 100% 5.00
3rd Algeria 100% 5.00
4th Jordan 100% 5.00
Group K10
1st Portugal 0% 0.00
2nd Colombia 0% 0.00
3rd DR Congo 100% 5.00
4th Uzbekistan 100% 5.00
Group L20
1st England 100% 5.00
2nd Croatia 100% 5.00
3rd Ghana 100% 5.00
4th Panama 100% 5.00
Knockout roundsexpected 147 of 327 max
Round of 322 pts 54
South Korea 0% 0.00
Canada 100% 2.00
Germany 100% 2.00
Scotland 0% 0.00
Netherlands 100% 2.00
Morocco 100% 2.00
Brazil 100% 2.00
Japan 100% 2.00
France 100% 2.00
Cape Verde 100% 2.00
Ecuador 100% 2.00
Norway 100% 2.00
Mexico 100% 2.00
Côte d'Ivoire 100% 2.00
England 100% 2.00
Senegal 100% 2.00
Türkiye 0% 0.00
Bosnia & Herzegovina 100% 2.00
Belgium 100% 2.00
Czech Republic 0% 0.00
Colombia 100% 2.00
Croatia 100% 2.00
Spain 100% 2.00
Austria 100% 2.00
Switzerland 100% 2.00
Algeria 100% 2.00
Argentina 100% 2.00
Uruguay 0% 0.00
Portugal 100% 2.00
Ghana 100% 2.00
USA 100% 2.00
Egypt 100% 2.00
Round of 163 pts 33
South Korea 0% 0.00
Germany 0% 0.00
Netherlands 0% 0.00
Brazil 100% 3.00
France 100% 3.00
Ecuador 0% 0.00
Mexico 100% 3.00
England 100% 3.00
Bosnia & Herzegovina 0% 0.00
Belgium 100% 3.00
Colombia 100% 3.00
Spain 100% 3.00
Switzerland 100% 3.00
Argentina 100% 3.00
Portugal 100% 3.00
USA 100% 3.00
Quarter-final10 pts 40
France 100% 10.00
Netherlands 0% 0.00
Brazil 0% 0.00
Mexico 0% 0.00
Spain 100% 10.00
Belgium 100% 10.00
Argentina 100% 10.00
Portugal 0% 0.00
Semi-final10 pts 20
France 100% 10.00
Spain 100% 10.00
Brazil 0% 0.00
Portugal 0% 0.00
3rd-place match10 pts 0
Spain 0% 0.00
Portugal 0% 0.00
Top scorerexpected 0 of 30 max
Igor Thiago 0.0% 0.00
#24
vladivostok Vlad Patchy entries Contrarian Low scorer Goal-happy Steady Big-margin gambler
Fingerprint pool percentile per axis
Accuracy 13 Scoring 13 Consistency 48 Stability 79 Draw-love 33 Risk 98 Contrarian 83 Aggression 88 Points per match how often each score lands
27% 0 21% 2 16% 5 1% 6 27% 7 1% 8 4% 10 1% 12 points earned in a match → share of matches Scoring Points (official) 304
Per match 3.91
Median 5
Consistency (±) 3.25
Best / worst 12 / 0
Blank-match rate 49%
MOTD / regular ppm 4.29 / 3.87
Accuracy Outcome correct 51%
Exact score 6%
Home / away goals 31% / 29%
Draw precision 12%
Draw recall 6%
Robust-floor rate 27%
Style Crowd-follow 71%
Contrarian 29%
Goal aggression 2.93 goals/game
Draw bias 11%
Big-margin picks 30%
Scoreline variety 3.32 bits
Home bias +0.7
Standing Current rank #24
Mean rank 20.63
Best / worst #4 / #24
Stability 84
Net climb -20
Time in top 5 1%
Momentum +2.29
Prediction twin loaded fries 68.4/100
Polar opposite Cri 43.4/100
Typicality 52.9 uniqueness 47.1
Coverage 67% 34 missed
Against the odds vs the pre-match favourite & a model of each game
Backs the favourite 71% 29% upsets · 10% land
Expected → actual pts 281 → 274 -7 vs pick-value
Results vs odds -0.9 36 right · 36.9 expected
Deserved standing #24 real #24 · +0 luck
Tournament bracket — expected points EV = points × probability, from simulations & pre-match odds
Group placement 100 of 240 max
Knockout 220 of 327 max
Top scorer 0 of 30 max
Grand EV 320 of 597 max
Bonus uncertainty 80% range 320–320 pts · σ 0 · one shared simulated tournament per trial
Group finishing positionsexpected 100 of 240 max
Group A0
1st Czech Republic 0% 0.00
2nd Mexico 0% 0.00
3rd South Africa 0% 0.00
4th South Korea 0% 0.00
Group B5
1st Bosnia & Herzegovina 0% 0.00
2nd Switzerland 0% 0.00
3rd Canada 0% 0.00
4th Qatar 100% 5.00
Group C10
1st Brazil 100% 5.00
2nd Haiti 0% 0.00
3rd Scotland 100% 5.00
4th Morocco 0% 0.00
Group D0
1st Türkiye 0% 0.00
2nd USA 0% 0.00
3rd Australia 0% 0.00
4th Paraguay 0% 0.00
Group E10
1st Germany 100% 5.00
2nd Curaçao 0% 0.00
3rd Ecuador 100% 5.00
4th Côte d'Ivoire 0% 0.00
Group F10
1st Netherlands 100% 5.00
2nd Sweden 0% 0.00
3rd Japan 0% 0.00
4th Tunisia 100% 5.00
Group G10
1st Belgium 100% 5.00
2nd Egypt 100% 5.00
3rd New Zealand 0% 0.00
4th Iran 0% 0.00
Group H5
1st Spain 100% 5.00
2nd Uruguay 0% 0.00
3rd Saudi Arabia 0% 0.00
4th Cape Verde 0% 0.00
Group I20
1st France 100% 5.00
2nd Norway 100% 5.00
3rd Senegal 100% 5.00
4th Iraq 100% 5.00
Group J20
1st Argentina 100% 5.00
2nd Austria 100% 5.00
3rd Algeria 100% 5.00
4th Jordan 100% 5.00
Group K0
1st Portugal 0% 0.00
2nd Colombia 0% 0.00
3rd Uzbekistan 0% 0.00
4th DR Congo 0% 0.00
Group L10
1st England 100% 5.00
2nd Croatia 100% 5.00
3rd Panama 0% 0.00
4th Ghana 0% 0.00
Knockout roundsexpected 220 of 327 max
Round of 322 pts 50
Mexico 100% 2.00
Switzerland 100% 2.00
Germany 100% 2.00
Australia 100% 2.00
Netherlands 100% 2.00
Haiti 0% 0.00
Brazil 100% 2.00
Sweden 100% 2.00
France 100% 2.00
Japan 100% 2.00
Curaçao 0% 0.00
Norway 100% 2.00
Czech Republic 0% 0.00
Scotland 0% 0.00
England 100% 2.00
Senegal 100% 2.00
Türkiye 0% 0.00
Canada 100% 2.00
Belgium 100% 2.00
South Africa 100% 2.00
Colombia 100% 2.00
Croatia 100% 2.00
Spain 100% 2.00
Austria 100% 2.00
Bosnia & Herzegovina 100% 2.00
New Zealand 0% 0.00
Argentina 100% 2.00
Uruguay 0% 0.00
Portugal 100% 2.00
Ecuador 100% 2.00
USA 100% 2.00
Egypt 100% 2.00
Round of 163 pts 30
Switzerland 100% 3.00
Germany 0% 0.00
Netherlands 0% 0.00
Brazil 100% 3.00
France 100% 3.00
Norway 100% 3.00
Scotland 0% 0.00
England 100% 3.00
Türkiye 0% 0.00
Belgium 100% 3.00
Croatia 0% 0.00
Spain 100% 3.00
Bosnia & Herzegovina 0% 0.00
Argentina 100% 3.00
Portugal 100% 3.00
USA 100% 3.00
Quarter-final10 pts 50
France 100% 10.00
Netherlands 0% 0.00
Brazil 0% 0.00
England 100% 10.00
Spain 100% 10.00
Belgium 100% 10.00
Argentina 100% 10.00
Portugal 0% 0.00
Semi-final10 pts 40
France 100% 10.00
Spain 100% 10.00
England 100% 10.00
Argentina 100% 10.00
Finalist15 pts 30
Spain 100% 15.00
Argentina 100% 15.00
3rd-place match10 pts 20
France 100% 10.00
England 100% 10.00
Top scorerexpected 0 of 30 max
Yamal 0.0% 0.00
#25
Cri Cristian Patchy entries Contrarian Low scorer Cautious Draw-prone Steady
Fingerprint pool percentile per axis
Accuracy 2 Scoring 2 Consistency 6 Stability 98 Draw-love 98 Risk 2 Contrarian 98 Aggression 2 Points per match how often each score lands
33% 0 24% 2 11% 5 2% 6 19% 7 11% 10 points earned in a match → share of matches Scoring Points (official) 339
Per match 3.56
Median 2
Consistency (±) 3.44
Best / worst 10 / 0
Blank-match rate 57%
MOTD / regular ppm 3 / 3.59
Accuracy Outcome correct 43%
Exact score 11%
Home / away goals 25% / 33%
Draw precision 29%
Draw recall 48%
Robust-floor rate 13%
Style Crowd-follow 44%
Contrarian 56%
Goal aggression 1.45 goals/game
Draw bias 42%
Big-margin picks 1%
Scoreline variety 2.88 bits
Home bias +0.31
Standing Current rank #25
Mean rank 24.96
Best / worst #23 / #26
Stability 98
Net climb +0
Time in top 5 0%
Momentum -1.16
Prediction twin Tricolorii 59.4/100
Polar opposite raresFarcas 36.2/100
Typicality 44.8 uniqueness 55.2
Coverage 81% 20 missed
Against the odds vs the pre-match favourite & a model of each game
Backs the favourite 42% 58% upsets · 22% land
Expected → actual pts 298.1 → 299 +0.9 vs pick-value
Results vs odds +2.5 36 right · 33.5 expected
Deserved standing #23 real #25 · -2 luck
Tournament bracket — expected points EV = points × probability, from simulations & pre-match odds
Group placement 100 of 240 max
Knockout 145 of 327 max
Top scorer 0 of 30 max
Grand EV 245 of 597 max
Bonus uncertainty 80% range 245–245 pts · σ 0 · one shared simulated tournament per trial
Group finishing positionsexpected 100 of 240 max
Group A5
1st Mexico 100% 5.00
2nd Czech Republic 0% 0.00
3rd South Africa 0% 0.00
4th South Korea 0% 0.00
Group B5
1st Bosnia & Herzegovina 0% 0.00
2nd Switzerland 0% 0.00
3rd Canada 0% 0.00
4th Qatar 100% 5.00
Group C10
1st Brazil 100% 5.00
2nd Scotland 0% 0.00
3rd Morocco 0% 0.00
4th Haiti 100% 5.00
Group D10
1st Australia 0% 0.00
2nd USA 0% 0.00
3rd Paraguay 100% 5.00
4th Türkiye 100% 5.00
Group E5
1st Germany 100% 5.00
2nd Ecuador 0% 0.00
3rd Curaçao 0% 0.00
4th Côte d'Ivoire 0% 0.00
Group F5
1st Netherlands 100% 5.00
2nd Sweden 0% 0.00
3rd Tunisia 0% 0.00
4th Japan 0% 0.00
Group G5
1st Belgium 100% 5.00
2nd New Zealand 0% 0.00
3rd Egypt 0% 0.00
4th Iran 0% 0.00
Group H5
1st Spain 100% 5.00
2nd Uruguay 0% 0.00
3rd Saudi Arabia 0% 0.00
4th Cape Verde 0% 0.00
Group I10
1st France 100% 5.00
2nd Norway 100% 5.00
3rd Iraq 0% 0.00
4th Senegal 0% 0.00
Group J20
1st Argentina 100% 5.00
2nd Austria 100% 5.00
3rd Algeria 100% 5.00
4th Jordan 100% 5.00
Group K0
1st Portugal 0% 0.00
2nd Colombia 0% 0.00
3rd Uzbekistan 0% 0.00
4th DR Congo 0% 0.00
Group L20
1st England 100% 5.00
2nd Croatia 100% 5.00
3rd Ghana 100% 5.00
4th Panama 100% 5.00
Knockout roundsexpected 145 of 327 max
Round of 322 pts 52
Czech Republic 0% 0.00
Switzerland 100% 2.00
Germany 100% 2.00
Morocco 100% 2.00
Netherlands 100% 2.00
Scotland 0% 0.00
Brazil 100% 2.00
Sweden 100% 2.00
France 100% 2.00
Paraguay 100% 2.00
Ecuador 100% 2.00
Norway 100% 2.00
Mexico 100% 2.00
Saudi Arabia 0% 0.00
England 100% 2.00
Uzbekistan 0% 0.00
Australia 100% 2.00
Canada 100% 2.00
Belgium 100% 2.00
South Africa 100% 2.00
Colombia 100% 2.00
Croatia 100% 2.00
Spain 100% 2.00
Austria 100% 2.00
Bosnia & Herzegovina 100% 2.00
Egypt 100% 2.00
Argentina 100% 2.00
Uruguay 0% 0.00
Portugal 100% 2.00
Algeria 100% 2.00
USA 100% 2.00
New Zealand 0% 0.00
Round of 163 pts 33
Switzerland 100% 3.00
Germany 0% 0.00
Netherlands 0% 0.00
Brazil 100% 3.00
France 100% 3.00
Norway 100% 3.00
Mexico 100% 3.00
England 100% 3.00
Australia 0% 0.00
Belgium 100% 3.00
Croatia 0% 0.00
Spain 100% 3.00
Bosnia & Herzegovina 0% 0.00
Argentina 100% 3.00
Portugal 100% 3.00
USA 100% 3.00
Quarter-final10 pts 40
Germany 0% 0.00
Netherlands 0% 0.00
Brazil 0% 0.00
England 100% 10.00
Spain 100% 10.00
Belgium 100% 10.00
Argentina 100% 10.00
Portugal 0% 0.00
Semi-final10 pts 20
Germany 0% 0.00
Spain 100% 10.00
England 100% 10.00
Portugal 0% 0.00
Finalist15 pts 0
Germany 0% 0.00
England 0% 0.00
3rd-place match10 pts 0
Spain 0% 0.00
Portugal 0% 0.00
Top scorerexpected 0 of 30 max
Kane 0.0% 0.00
#26
Tricolorii Mihai Patchy entries Goal-happy Draw-prone Big-margin gambler Maverick
Fingerprint pool percentile per axis
Accuracy 87 Scoring 90 Consistency 94 Stability 50 Draw-love 87 Risk 83 Contrarian 44 Aggression 98 Points per match how often each score lands
11% 0 25% 2 19% 5 3% 6 22% 7 11% 8 8% 10 points earned in a match → share of matches Scoring Points (official) 177
Per match 4.92
Median 5
Consistency (±) 3.0
Best / worst 10 / 0
Blank-match rate 36%
MOTD / regular ppm 6 / 4.66
Accuracy Outcome correct 64%
Exact score 8%
Home / away goals 31% / 36%
Draw precision 50%
Draw recall 36%
Robust-floor rate 25%
Style Crowd-follow 81%
Contrarian 19%
Goal aggression 3.19 goals/game
Draw bias 22%
Big-margin picks 22%
Scoreline variety 4.05 bits
Home bias +0.92
Standing Current rank #26
Mean rank 17.38
Best / worst #1 / #26
Stability 79
Net climb -4
Time in top 5 29%
Momentum -0.52
Prediction twin Cristi 67.9/100
Polar opposite Labuta 0/100
Typicality 56.6 uniqueness 43.4
Coverage 35% 68 missed
Against the odds vs the pre-match favourite & a model of each game
Backs the favourite 78% 22% upsets · 50% land
Expected → actual pts 150.1 → 177 +26.9 vs pick-value
Results vs odds +2.9 23 right · 20.1 expected
Deserved standing #26 real #26 · +0 luck
26 players, 104 matches ·
scoreline-only scoring (scorer bonuses excluded) · "Against the odds" uses pre-match odds;
expected points from a match model — nailing rare exact scores reads as variance here, so
points-luck is a signal, not a verdict.